LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd (300883) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.3B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (¥1.46 to ¥2.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.86 – ¥14.66 · fair‑value band ¥1.46 – ¥2.88 · the ¥5.97 price screens above the ¥2.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd (300883) currently trades at ¥5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.17, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd generated revenue of 887M CNY at a net margin of -1.5%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.9%. Net debt stands at 227M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.46 (bear case) to ¥2.88 (bull case); at ¥5.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -64%, 300883 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.74) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.9200). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd designs, develops, and manufactures printing technology and packaging containers. The company offers products and services for food and beverage, household chemicals, grain and oil, home office, electronic equipment, medicine and medical care, express delivery and e-commerce, and other industries.

Full company description

LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd designs, develops, and manufactures printing technology and packaging containers. The company offers products and services for food and beverage, household chemicals, grain and oil, home office, electronic equipment, medicine and medical care, express delivery and e-commerce, and other industries. It is also engaged in advanced manufacturing applications, intelligent manufacturing, integration of industrialization and industrialization applications, computer technology, packaging technology, and printing technology, as well as design, research and development of various paper packaging containers, and modern fine-tuning. In addition, the company engages in technology development, technical services, and technology transfer in the fields of advanced manufacturing applications; high-end printing packaging, advanced paper products; research and development, design, manufacturing, and sale of industrial products, green packaging and printing materials, and printing and packaging products; packaging and decoration printing materials, and other printing materials printing; technical design and research and development of water-based digital printing technology, internet intelligent logistics, and intelligent manufacturing. Further, it provides modern enterprise refinement management services. Additionally, the company is involved in the production and sale of base paper, paper products, plastic products, and metal products; sale of electrical equipment, hardware products, building materials, mechanical equipment, and daily necessities; business information consulting; and technical consulting in the field of computer technology. LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd was founded in 2000 and is based in Mingguang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd reported revenue of ¥885M in FY2025 versus ¥756M in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥7.9M in FY2025.

300883 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.