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Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd ¥0.88, price ¥6.42, upside -86.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE1000047V7

LI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd

300883 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥0.8800 · Strongly overvalued (−86%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥14.66 ¥3.86 Fair Value ¥0.8800 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.86 – ¥14.66 · fair‑value band ¥0.8400 – ¥0.9200 · the ¥6.42 price screens above the ¥0.8800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd designs, develops, and manufactures printing technology and packaging containers. The company offers products and services for food and beverage, household chemicals, grain and oil, home office, electronic equipment, medicine and medical care, express delivery and e-commerce, and other industries.

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LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd designs, develops, and manufactures printing technology and packaging containers. The company offers products and services for food and beverage, household chemicals, grain and oil, home office, electronic equipment, medicine and medical care, express delivery and e-commerce, and other industries. It is also engaged in advanced manufacturing applications, intelligent manufacturing, integration of industrialization and industrialization applications, computer technology, packaging technology, and printing technology, as well as design, research and development of various paper packaging containers, and modern fine-tuning. In addition, the company engages in technology development, technical services, and technology transfer in the fields of advanced manufacturing applications; high-end printing packaging, advanced paper products; research and development, design, manufacturing, and sale of industrial products, green packaging and printing materials, and printing and packaging products; packaging and decoration printing materials, and other printing materials printing; technical design and research and development of water-based digital printing technology, internet intelligent logistics, and intelligent manufacturing. Further, it provides modern enterprise refinement management services. Additionally, the company is involved in the production and sale of base paper, paper products, plastic products, and metal products; sale of electrical equipment, hardware products, building materials, mechanical equipment, and daily necessities; business information consulting; and technical consulting in the field of computer technology. LD Intelligent Technology CO., Ltd was founded in 2000 and is based in Mingguang, China.

Stock analysis

Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883) currently trades at ¥6.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 629.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.74 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥6.42 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.8700, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.8400 (bear) to ¥0.9200 (bull), the price of ¥6.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 885M CNY in FY2025 versus 756M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −7.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.2B CNY (≈ $331M) · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% · Operating margin 1.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −86%, 300883 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.8400 Fair Value ¥0.8800 Bull ¥0.9200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥0.8300 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9000 74
ROIC Compounder ¥0.8300 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9000 72
EV/EBITDA ¥2.68 ¥3.39 ¥4.09 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.8300 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9000 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.9600 ¥1.09 ¥1.22 66
EV/EBITDA ¥2.68 ¥3.39 ¥4.09 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.9000 ¥1.05 ¥1.20 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.04 ¥2.74 ¥4.09 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.8300 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9000 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.1% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.8% (2020) → 1.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300883 screens 629% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

Compare Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)6 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)19 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300883

Frequently asked questions

Is Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8800 versus a price of ¥6.42, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300883?
Our model-based fair value for Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is ¥0.8800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.42.
What is the quality score of 300883?
Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8400, optimistic scenario ¥0.9200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8800, about −86% upside versus a price of ¥6.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8400, optimistic scenario ¥0.9200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 887M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd it is ¥0.8800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.42. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300883 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.42, fair value ¥0.8800, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300883?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8800). For Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥5.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd at about 2.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300883?
Our models span a range for Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8400, base ¥0.8800, optimistic ¥0.9200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.9%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300883 from its 52-week high?
Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥6.42, about 17% below its 52-week high of ¥7.75 and 30% above the low of ¥4.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.42, calculated fair value ¥0.8800 (−86%), Quality Score 40/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300883 calculated?
We run Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.8800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8800, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (¥0.8400 to ¥0.9200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The market capitalisation of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 2.2B CNY (≈ $331M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 2.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Earnings per share at Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The dividend yield of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The net margin of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
The operating margin of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Revenue at Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is growing +1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883)?
Earnings per share at Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd are growing −65.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883) generate?
The free cash flow of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is −200M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd (300883) carry?
The net debt of Ld Intelligent Technology Co Ltd is 227M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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