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Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc (300980) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY

HX Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc 300980 · SHE
Price¥21.99
Fair Value¥6.49
Upside-70.5%
Quality34/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.90 – ¥6.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −33.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.99 ¥12.08 Fair Value ¥6.49 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.08 – ¥38.99 · fair‑value band ¥3.90 – ¥6.50 · the ¥21.99 price screens above the ¥6.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc (300980) currently trades at ¥21.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.49, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc generated revenue of 633M CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 149M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.90 (bear case) to ¥6.50 (bull case); at ¥21.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -71%, 300980 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.43 ¥7.24 ¥6.19 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.31 ¥1.79 ¥2.20 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.82 ¥9.74 ¥12.66 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.9400 ¥4.18 ¥10.73 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.45 ¥17.07 ¥23.96 54
Lynch FV ¥5.57 ¥7.96 ¥10.34 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.57 ¥7.96 ¥10.34 46
EPV ¥1.31 ¥1.79 ¥2.20 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.59 ¥6.12 ¥7.65 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.59 ¥6.12 ¥7.65 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.59 ¥6.12 ¥7.65 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.29 ¥3.63 ¥4.97 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.02 ¥7.27 ¥9.52 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.76 ¥3.25 ¥4.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.14 ¥6.89 ¥10.28 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.43 ¥7.24 ¥6.19 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.31 ¥1.79 ¥2.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.82 ¥9.74 ¥12.66 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.74) versus Economic Profit (¥1.79). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 633M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.3%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 4.2%
Free cash flow −61.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 61.2
More key figures
Operating margin 8.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4500
EPS growth (YoY) +160%
Net cash 149M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cross-linked polyolefin and silicone foams in China and internationally.

Full company description

Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of cross-linked polyolefin and silicone foams in China and internationally. It offers irradiation cross-linked polyethylene foam; radiation-cross-linked, semirigid, and closed-cell long sheet foam; chemical crosslinked polyethylene foam; 520 polyolefin foam; polyurethane foam; HFPP foam; silicone foam; and other products. The company's products are used in automotive interior, electronics, construction, package, medical, sports and leisure, building decoration materials, new energy vehicles, household appliances, and other fields. Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hanchuan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc reported revenue of ¥603M in FY2025 versus ¥462M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥49.7M in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
603M CNY
Latest YoY
+26.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+22.6%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 ¥462M
FY22 ¥374M
FY23 ¥384M
FY24 ¥476M
FY25 ¥603M
Net income −13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥87.7M
FY22 ¥56.7M
FY23 ¥41.0M
FY24 ¥25.6M
FY25 ¥49.7M

300980 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300980

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.68× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 17 · sector 23
HEALTH 86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc (300980) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.49 versus a price of ¥21.99, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300980?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc is ¥6.49 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.99.
What is the quality score of 300980?
Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc (300980)?
Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 633M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300980?
The net profit margin of Hubei Xiangyuan New Material Technology Inc is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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