HUANLEJIA Food Group (300997) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.14 to ¥2.13 (−0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +28.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.16 – ¥33.06 · fair‑value band ¥1.86 – ¥2.67 · the ¥18.19 price screens above the ¥2.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
HUANLEJIA Food Group (300997) currently trades at ¥18.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.13, implying the stock looks roughly 88.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HUANLEJIA Food Group generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 64.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.86 (bear case) to ¥2.67 (bull case); at ¥18.19, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -88%, 300997 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.76) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HUANLEJIA Food Group CO.,Ltd, together its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of food and beverage products in China.
Full company description
HUANLEJIA Food Group CO.,Ltd, together its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of food and beverage products in China. The company offers beverages, including coconut juice plant-based protein drinks, coconut water, fruit juice drinks, and lactic acid bacteria drinks; and canned fruits, such as canned peaches and oranges, as well as canned eight-treasure porridge. It is also involved in warehousing and import and export trade business. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Zhanjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HUANLEJIA Food Group reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥44.2M in FY2025, compounding −30.0%/yr from FY2021.
300997 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 92 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $87.05 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.02 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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