GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation (301011) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥10.56 to ¥9.83 (−6.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.84 – ¥43.71 · fair‑value band ¥7.38 – ¥12.29 · the ¥15.39 price screens above the ¥9.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation (301011) currently trades at ¥15.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.83, implying the stock looks roughly 36.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation generated revenue of 965M CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 33.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.38 (bear case) to ¥12.29 (bull case); at ¥15.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -36%, 301011 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.56) versus Asset-Based (¥4.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and operation of commercial game and amusement equipment in China. It provides hot, racing, shooting, prize, sports, ticket redemption, and kids games, as well as venue operations, merchandise, and esports integration services.
Full company description
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and operation of commercial game and amusement equipment in China. It provides hot, racing, shooting, prize, sports, ticket redemption, and kids games, as well as venue operations, merchandise, and esports integration services. The company is also involved in electronic game arcade entertainment activities, anime merchandise sales, enterprise management, amusement machine sales, and software development. In addition, it exports its products. GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation reported revenue of ¥997M in FY2025 versus ¥627M in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥69.0M in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.
301011 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$202.60 | HK$192.74 | -5% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $207.27 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $237.04 | $60.45 | -74% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $57.07 | $21.20 | -63% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.04 | ¥14.68 | +5% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 240,500 KRW | 395,557 KRW | +64% |
| Kunlun Tech Co 300418 | ¥44.61 | ¥6.87 | -85% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥29.98 | ¥15.69 | -48% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 704.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -19% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.02 | ¥22.29 | +17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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