GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited ¥9.83, price ¥15.96, upside -38.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.84 – ¥43.71 · fair‑value band ¥7.38 – ¥12.29 · the ¥15.96 price screens above the ¥9.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and operation of commercial game and amusement equipment in China. It provides hot, racing, shooting, prize, sports, ticket redemption, and kids games, as well as venue operations, merchandise, and esports integration services.
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GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and operation of commercial game and amusement equipment in China. It provides hot, racing, shooting, prize, sports, ticket redemption, and kids games, as well as venue operations, merchandise, and esports integration services. The company is also involved in electronic game arcade entertainment activities, anime merchandise sales, enterprise management, amusement machine sales, and software development. In addition, it exports its products. GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited was founded in 2010 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011) currently trades at ¥15.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.83, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥10.56 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥15.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.16, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥7.38 (bear) to ¥12.29 (bull), the price of ¥15.96 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited reported revenue of 997M CNY in FY2025 versus 627M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 69.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $367M) · P/E ratio 49.9 · P/S ratio 3.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −38%, 301011 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.38Fair Value ¥9.83Bull ¥12.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1248 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 13%
Compare GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 149 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.83 versus a price of ¥15.96, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301011?
Our model-based fair value for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is ¥9.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.96.
What is the quality score of 301011?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.38, optimistic scenario ¥12.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.83, about −38% upside versus a price of ¥15.96 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.38, optimistic scenario ¥12.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 965M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited pay a dividend?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited it is ¥9.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥15.96. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301011 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.96, fair value ¥9.83, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301011?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.83). For GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited the two are ¥6.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited worth?
The market values GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.96; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301011?
Our models span a range for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited: cautious scenario ¥7.38, base ¥9.83, optimistic ¥12.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥15.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301011?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥9.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 16.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Balance-sheet figures for GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301011 from its 52-week high?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited trades at ¥15.96, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥30.35 and 20% above the low of ¥13.35 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥15.96, calculated fair value ¥9.83 (−38%), Quality Score 41/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301011 calculated?
We run GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥9.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥15.96. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.83, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The market capitalisation of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 2.5B CNY (≈ $367M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 3.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Earnings per share at GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited are ¥0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The dividend yield of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 0.9% (payout 46.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The net margin of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
The operating margin of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Revenue at GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is growing −17.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011)?
Earnings per share at GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited are growing −86.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011) generate?
The free cash flow of GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited is −66.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011) hold?
GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited holds more cash than debt, 33.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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