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Ningbo Color Master Batch Co (301019) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

NC Ningbo Color Master Batch Co 301019 · SHE
Price¥15.58
Fair Value¥7.29
Upside-53.2%
Quality69/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.05 – ¥10.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥29.67 ¥9.77 Fair Value ¥7.29 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.77 – ¥29.67 · fair‑value band ¥6.05 – ¥10.84 · the ¥15.58 price screens above the ¥7.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Color Master Batch Co (301019) currently trades at ¥15.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.29, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Color Master Batch Co generated revenue of 490M CNY at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 87.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.05 (bear case) to ¥10.84 (bull case); at ¥15.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -53%, 301019 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.81 ¥6.41 ¥9.25 76
Growth DCF ¥4.20 ¥5.39 ¥7.50 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.05 ¥8.65 ¥11.24 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.06 ¥5.28 ¥7.66 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.48 ¥5.84 ¥8.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.48 ¥4.73 ¥6.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.87 ¥7.11 ¥10.15 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.25 ¥9.45 ¥13.38 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.61 ¥4.69 ¥5.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.52 ¥6.20 ¥8.08 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.34 ¥7.70 ¥10.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.53 ¥7.09 ¥8.50 54
EPV ¥5.83 ¥6.70 ¥7.44 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.50 ¥11.33 ¥14.16 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.20 ¥4.26 ¥5.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.50 ¥11.33 ¥14.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.62 ¥10.05 ¥12.47 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.21 ¥8.16 ¥10.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.33 ¥4.61 ¥5.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.37 ¥4.51 ¥6.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.20 ¥5.39 ¥7.50 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.48 ¥4.82 ¥6.54 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.81 ¥6.41 ¥9.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.83 ¥6.70 ¥7.66 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.05 ¥8.65 ¥11.24 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥8.65) versus Asset-Based (¥4.51). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 490M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.8%
Net margin 23.3%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow 64.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 29.2
More key figures
Operating margin 25.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7000
EPS growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net cash 87.0M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of plastic coloring products in China and internationally. The company offers color, black, white, additive, and functional masterbatch products under the MINGZHOU brand.

Full company description

Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of plastic coloring products in China and internationally. The company offers color, black, white, additive, and functional masterbatch products under the MINGZHOU brand. Its products are used in electronics, daily necessities, food and beverages, daily chemicals, building materials, agriculture, automobiles, medical treatment, high-end home appliances, food and beverage packaging, optical films, etc. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Color Master Batch Co reported revenue of ¥469M in FY2025 versus ¥492M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥110M in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
469M CNY
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥492M
FY22 ¥464M
FY23 ¥451M
FY24 ¥493M
FY25 ¥469M
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 ¥109M
FY22 ¥100M
FY23 ¥102M
FY24 ¥101M
FY25 ¥110M

301019 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Color Master Batch Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301019

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 24.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 99 · sector 19
PAST 40 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Color Master Batch Co (301019) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.29 versus a price of ¥15.58, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301019?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Color Master Batch Co is ¥7.29 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.58.
What is the quality score of 301019?
Ningbo Color Master Batch Co has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Color Master Batch Co (301019)?
Ningbo Color Master Batch Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 490M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301019?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Color Master Batch Co is about 23.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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