Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. ¥3.01, price ¥19.99, upside -84.9%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range ¥6.81 – ¥47.59 · fair‑value band ¥2.44 – ¥3.17 · the ¥19.99 price screens above the ¥3.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides urban transportation solutions in China. The company offers multi-mode AI regulation business engine, evolutionary computing platform, and digital twin foundation.
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Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides urban transportation solutions in China. The company offers multi-mode AI regulation business engine, evolutionary computing platform, and digital twin foundation. It also provides planning, policy research and plan consultation, engineering design, and intelligentization services for rail transit networks; data analysis, digital twin, intelligent management and control, and professional integration for transportation corridors; style traffic signal governance, systematic traffic safety governance, traffic congestion service, and intelligent parking solutions; and urban traffic dispatching AI cloud platform, low-altitude integration hub, low-altitude demonstration zone and test site, sustainable neighborhood, and ecological corridor. In addition, the company offers comprehensive management and control, vehicle-road-cloud, and low-altitude control and management, as well as power charging, storage, and discharging; and asset activation, low-altitude operation, lifeline engineering, and operation assurance. Further, it provides TransPaaS digital twin transportation OS platform, smart parking platform, road traffic accident integrated analysis and early-warning platform, and digital management platform for intelligent traffic safety hazard mitigation; and control equipment, and operation and maintenance equipment. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd. in January 2026. Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091) currently trades at ¥19.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.01, 84.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥3.25 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥19.99 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.9600, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.44 (bear) to ¥3.17 (bull), the price of ¥19.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 61.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.5B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 285.6 · P/S ratio 14.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −85%, 301091 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.9600 to ¥11.04). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.44Fair Value ¥3.01Bull ¥3.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0439 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%
Compare Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 636 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Return on assets0.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−47.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)285.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)8.86× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 44
PAST (return on equity)7· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)1· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301091
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.01 versus a price of ¥19.99, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301091?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is ¥3.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.99.
What is the quality score of 301091?
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.44, optimistic scenario ¥3.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.01, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥19.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.44, optimistic scenario ¥3.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. it is ¥3.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥19.99. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301091 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.99, fair value ¥3.01, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301091?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.01). For Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. the two are ¥16.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. at about 10.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.99; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301091?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥2.44, base ¥3.01, optimistic ¥3.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥19.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301091?
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 285.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301091 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. trades at ¥19.99, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥35.80 and 36% above the low of ¥14.75 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥19.99, calculated fair value ¥3.01 (−85%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301091 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥19.99. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.01, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 10.5B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 14.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 285.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 0.1% (payout 17.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is −47.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is growing −8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. are growing −30.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. (301091) generate?
The free cash flow of Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd. is −232M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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