Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group (301091) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 9.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +21.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range ¥6.81 – ¥47.59 · fair‑value band ¥1.48 – ¥2.47 · the ¥18.96 price screens above the ¥1.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group (301091) currently trades at ¥18.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.97, implying the stock looks roughly 89.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.48 (bear case) to ¥2.47 (bull case); at ¥18.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -90%, 301091 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.04) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.9600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides urban transportation solutions in China. The company offers multi-mode AI regulation business engine, evolutionary computing platform, and digital twin foundation.
Full company description
Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides urban transportation solutions in China. The company offers multi-mode AI regulation business engine, evolutionary computing platform, and digital twin foundation. It also provides planning, policy research and plan consultation, engineering design, and intelligentization services for rail transit networks; data analysis, digital twin, intelligent management and control, and professional integration for transportation corridors; style traffic signal governance, systematic traffic safety governance, traffic congestion service, and intelligent parking solutions; and urban traffic dispatching AI cloud platform, low-altitude integration hub, low-altitude demonstration zone and test site, sustainable neighborhood, and ecological corridor. In addition, the company offers comprehensive management and control, vehicle-road-cloud, and low-altitude control and management, as well as power charging, storage, and discharging; and asset activation, low-altitude operation, lifeline engineering, and operation assurance. Further, it provides TransPaaS digital twin transportation OS platform, smart parking platform, road traffic accident integrated analysis and early-warning platform, and digital management platform for intelligent traffic safety hazard mitigation; and control equipment, and operation and maintenance equipment. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd. in January 2026. Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen Urban Transport Technology Group reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥61.2M in FY2025, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2021.
301091 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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