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Jiangsu Yike Food Group (301116) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.3B CNY

JY Jiangsu Yike Food Group 301116 · SHE
Price¥8.67
Fair Value¥13.87
Upside+60.0%
Quality45/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥9.90 – ¥17.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from ¥10.90 to ¥13.87 (+27.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥9.90 to ¥17.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.98 ¥7.64 Fair Value ¥13.87 Jan 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range ¥7.64 – ¥34.98 · fair‑value band ¥9.90 – ¥17.84 · the ¥8.67 price screens below the ¥13.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Jiangsu Yike Food Group (301116) currently trades at ¥8.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.87, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Yike Food Group generated revenue of 19.4B CNY at a net margin of -0.9%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.4%. Net debt stands at 712M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.90 (bear case) to ¥17.84 (bull case); at ¥8.67, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 60%, 301116 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA ¥9.91 ¥13.03 ¥16.16 54
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.70 ¥2.28 ¥3.40 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥9.91 ¥13.03 ¥16.16 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.70 ¥2.28 ¥3.40 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥13.03) versus Asset-Based (¥2.28). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net margin -0.9%
Return on equity -10.4%
Free cash flow −154M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.3900
EPS growth (YoY) -32.7%
Net debt 712M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd engages in the slaughtering and processing of poultry products in China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: the Meat and Poultry Business, Food Business, and Down Business.

Full company description

Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd engages in the slaughtering and processing of poultry products in China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: the Meat and Poultry Business, Food Business, and Down Business. The Meat and Poultry Business segment engages in breeding poultry, feed processing, commercial poultry breeding, slaughtering and processing, packaging, and intelligent equipment businesses. The Food Business segment provides deep processing services, such as prepared food processing, cooked food processing, and pet raw materials. The Down Business segment produces raw materials. It also offers frozen and fresh cut raw duck and chicken under the Yike, Zhongke, Fengzeyuan, and Wanquan brand names; prepared foods under the Yikeduo and Zhongke brand name; and deep-processed products comprising braised duck meat and chicken products under the Love Duck brand name. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Suqian, China. Jiangsu Yike Food Group Co.,Ltd is a subsidiary of Jiangsu Yike Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Investment Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangsu Yike Food Group reported revenue of ¥19.0B in FY2025 versus ¥16.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥280M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
19.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+17.3%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 ¥16.4B
FY22 ¥18.7B
FY23 ¥21.9B
FY24 ¥20.8B
FY25 ¥19.0B
Net income
FY21 ¥117M
FY22 ¥52.2M
FY23 −¥171M
FY24 ¥100M
FY25 −¥280M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Yike Food Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301116

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 48 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu Yike Food Group (301116) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.87 versus a price of ¥8.67, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 301116?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Yike Food Group is ¥13.87 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.67.
What is the quality score of 301116?
Jiangsu Yike Food Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Yike Food Group (301116)?
Jiangsu Yike Food Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301116?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Yike Food Group is about -0.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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