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Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock ¥5.08, price ¥13.06, that is 61.1% below the price, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

12 models, one by oneBear ¥3.80 to bull ¥7.59 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 20/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE1000056W6

Some data Nov 6, 2026

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD

301127 · SHE

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin (TTM)

Revenue last quarter +82% vs. a year ago.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.5 %/yr in CNY)

Moderate debt

0.3% dividend yield · Token dividend

Moderate moat 47/100

Some data

Fair value ¥5.08 · Strongly overvalued (−61.1%)

Quality 20/100

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (4/12)

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range ¥4.99 – ¥20.97 · fair‑value band ¥3.80 – ¥7.59 · the ¥13.06 price screens above the ¥5.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides environmental treatment services.

Show moreShow less

It is involved in the water environment treatment, solid waste disposal, environmental protection energy, municipal infrastructure construction, leachate treatment, sewage treatment, and water environment governance and services.

The company also engages urban and rural sewage treatment, industrial wastewater treatment, urban water supply, reclaimed water reuse, treatment of highly difficult organic wastewater, municipal engineering, and water ecological restoration; municipal solid waste incineration power generation, comprehensive sludge treatment, disposal of decommissioned new energy devices, fly ash disposal and resource utilization; wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation, energy storage, hydrogen energy, green ammonia, green methanol, and energy performance contracting; computing power, artificial intelligence, AI big data models, and intelligent supercharging; environmental protection equipment, hydrogen energy equipment, and high-end equipment.

The company was formerly known as Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.,LTD and changed its name to Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. in April 2025. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Stock analysis

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) currently trades at ¥13.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.08, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.58 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the ¥13.06 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.49, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.80 (bear) to ¥7.59 (bull), the price of ¥13.06 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 760M CNY in FY2021, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was 220M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 8.8B CNY (≈ $1.3B) Small · P/E ratio 37.3 · P/S ratio 4.38 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3500 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −61%, 301127 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.80 Fair Value ¥5.08 Bull ¥7.59

Price ¥13.06 · Downside -61.1%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2667 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥3.88 ¥4.02 ¥4.32 76

Gordon GGM ¥1.97 ¥3.68 ¥5.23 67

DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.97 ¥3.30 ¥3.92 67

All 12 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥2.22 ¥11.16 ¥15.41 64

Lynch FV ¥3.03 ¥4.32 ¥5.62 61

PEG = 1.0 ¥3.03 ¥4.32 ¥5.62 57

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥1.97 ¥3.68 ¥5.23 67

DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.97 ¥3.30 ¥3.92 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 63

P/S Multiple ¥3.80 ¥5.07 ¥6.34 58

EV/EBIT ¥2.57 ¥5.08 ¥7.59 63

EV/EBITDA ¥2.42 ¥4.88 ¥7.34 64

EV/Revenue n/a n/a ¥0.9600 50

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥3.88 ¥4.02 ¥4.32 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.60 ¥6.58 ¥8.55 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 27

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 24

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 0

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 33

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 5

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 50

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 40

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 20

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 36

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

−13.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.3%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+25.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+24.8%

’19

’20

’21

’22

’23

’24

’25

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+2.3%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 23%

301127 screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −61.1% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 6.3% · Above median

Return on assets 2.2% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 11.6% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) 25.1% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 81.9% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.26× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 37.3× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.60× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

P/S (12 months) 4.38× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 24.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 37

PAST (return on equity)25 · sector 23

HEALTH (low debt)37 · sector 83

DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Waste Management, Inc WM	$236.26	$259.89	+10%	vs 301127
Waste Connections, Inc WCN	$189.07	$199.18	+5%	vs 301127
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC	€10.42	€9.99	−4%	vs 301127
GEM Co 002340	¥5.81	¥5.27	−9%	vs 301127
GFL Environmental Inc GFL	$46.32	$34.75	−25%	vs 301127
Veolia Environnement SA VIE	€33.78	€20.39	−40%	vs 301127
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH	$284.10	$155.54	−45%	vs 301127
Republic Services, Inc RSG	$246.85	$129.29	−48%	vs 301127
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY	A$3.01	A$1.25	−58%	vs 301127
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST	$98.21	$14.30	−85%	vs 301127

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.08 versus a price of ¥13.06, about 61% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 301127?

Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is ¥5.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.06.

What is the quality score of 301127?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.80, optimistic scenario ¥7.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥5.08, about 61% lower versus a price of ¥13.06 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.80, optimistic scenario ¥7.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).

Does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD pay a dividend?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD currently shows a dividend yield of 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD pays a dividend of ¥0.038 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 10, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 10.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.3% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.3% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.

What is the intrinsic value of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD it is ¥5.08 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥13.06. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 6, 2026, 301127 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.06, fair value ¥5.08, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 301127?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.08). For Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD the two are ¥7.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD worth?

The market values Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD at about 8.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.08 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301127?

Our models span a range for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD: cautious scenario ¥3.80, base ¥5.08, optimistic ¥7.59 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥13.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 301127?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.3 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 24.8.

How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Balance-sheet figures for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 1.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 301127 from its 52-week high?

Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD trades at ¥13.06, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥20.79 and 9% above the low of ¥11.93 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.08 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥13.06, calculated fair value ¥5.08 (−61%), Quality Score 20/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 301127 calculated?

We run Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.08 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.08, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥3.80 to ¥7.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The market capitalisation of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 8.8B CNY (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 4.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Earnings per share at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD are ¥0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The dividend yield of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 0.3% (payout 10.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The net margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 11.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

The operating margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Revenue at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is growing +81.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?

Earnings per share at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD are growing +897% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) generate?

The free cash flow of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is −2.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) carry?

The net debt of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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