Wuhan Tianyuan Group (301127) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 8.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −20.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.80 to ¥7.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ¥5.00 – ¥21.01 · fair‑value band ¥3.80 – ¥7.34 · the ¥15.83 price screens above the ¥5.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Wuhan Tianyuan Group (301127) currently trades at ¥15.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.08, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhan Tianyuan Group generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 35.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.80 (bear case) to ¥7.34 (bull case); at ¥15.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -68%, 301127 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.58) versus Asset-Based (¥3.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides environmental treatment services. It is involved in the water environment treatment, solid waste disposal, environmental protection energy, municipal infrastructure construction, leachate treatment, sewage treatment, and water environment governance and services.
Full company description
Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides environmental treatment services. It is involved in the water environment treatment, solid waste disposal, environmental protection energy, municipal infrastructure construction, leachate treatment, sewage treatment, and water environment governance and services. The company also engages urban and rural sewage treatment, industrial wastewater treatment, urban water supply, reclaimed water reuse, treatment of highly difficult organic wastewater, municipal engineering, and water ecological restoration; municipal solid waste incineration power generation, comprehensive sludge treatment, disposal of decommissioned new energy devices, fly ash disposal and resource utilization; wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation, energy storage, hydrogen energy, green ammonia, green methanol, and energy performance contracting; computing power, artificial intelligence, AI big data models, and intelligent supercharging; environmental protection equipment, hydrogen energy equipment, and high-end equipment. The company was formerly known as Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.,LTD and changed its name to Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. in April 2025. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wuhan Tianyuan Group reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥760M in FY2021, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥220M in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
301127 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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