Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD ¥5.08, price ¥17.93, upside -71.7%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range ¥4.99 – ¥20.97 · fair‑value band ¥4.00 – ¥7.34 · the ¥17.93 price screens above the ¥5.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides environmental treatment services. It is involved in the water environment treatment, solid waste disposal, environmental protection energy, municipal infrastructure construction, leachate treatment, sewage treatment, and water environment governance and services.
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Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. provides environmental treatment services. It is involved in the water environment treatment, solid waste disposal, environmental protection energy, municipal infrastructure construction, leachate treatment, sewage treatment, and water environment governance and services. The company also engages urban and rural sewage treatment, industrial wastewater treatment, urban water supply, reclaimed water reuse, treatment of highly difficult organic wastewater, municipal engineering, and water ecological restoration; municipal solid waste incineration power generation, comprehensive sludge treatment, disposal of decommissioned new energy devices, fly ash disposal and resource utilization; wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation, energy storage, hydrogen energy, green ammonia, green methanol, and energy performance contracting; computing power, artificial intelligence, AI big data models, and intelligent supercharging; environmental protection equipment, hydrogen energy equipment, and high-end equipment. The company was formerly known as Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.,LTD and changed its name to Wuhan Tianyuan Group Co., Ltd. in April 2025. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.
Stock analysis
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) currently trades at ¥17.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.08, implying the stock looks roughly 253.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.58 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the ¥17.93 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.36, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥4.00 (bear) to ¥7.34 (bull), the price of ¥17.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 760M CNY in FY2021, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was 220M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 12.1B CNY (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 56.0 · P/S ratio 7.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −72%, 301127 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.00Fair Value ¥5.08Bull ¥7.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2341 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
’19
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 23%
Compare Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 168 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.26× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)56.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.53× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.99× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA10.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)37· sector 80
DIVIDEND (yield)39· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.08 versus a price of ¥17.93, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301127?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is ¥5.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.93.
What is the quality score of 301127?
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.00, optimistic scenario ¥7.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.08, about −72% upside versus a price of ¥17.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.00, optimistic scenario ¥7.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD pay a dividend?
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD it is ¥5.08 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥17.93. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 301127 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.93, fair value ¥5.08, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301127?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.08). For Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD the two are ¥12.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD worth?
The market values Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD at about 12.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.93; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301127?
Our models span a range for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD: cautious scenario ¥4.00, base ¥5.08, optimistic ¥7.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥17.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301127?
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.08 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 10.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 1.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301127 from its 52-week high?
Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD trades at ¥17.93, about 14% below its 52-week high of ¥20.79 and 50% above the low of ¥11.93 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥17.93, calculated fair value ¥5.08 (−72%), Quality Score 22/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301127 calculated?
We run Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥17.93. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.08, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥4.00 to ¥7.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 12.1B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 7.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD are ¥0.3200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The dividend yield of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 2.0% (payout 110%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The net margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
The operating margin of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Revenue at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is growing +35.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD are growing −12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is −2.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD (301127) carry?
The net debt of Wuhan Tianyuan Environmental Protection Co.LTD is 3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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