Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co (301151) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥9.20 to ¥7.53 (−18.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −14.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥10.87 – ¥29.65 · fair‑value band ¥5.65 – ¥9.42 · the ¥17.40 price screens above the ¥7.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co (301151) currently trades at ¥17.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.53, implying the stock looks roughly 56.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 767M CNY at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 24.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 695M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.65 (bear case) to ¥9.42 (bull case); at ¥17.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -57%, 301151 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.74) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.98). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of water-saving valves in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of water-saving valves in China and internationally. It offers butterfly valves, gate valves, control valves, check valves, and other valve products, as well as supporting products for use in downstream fields, such as urban water supply and drainage, water conservancy, and industry. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Karon Valves Machinery Co., Ltd and changed its name to Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. in September 2020. Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥805M in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥60.6M in FY2025, compounding −25.1%/yr from FY2021.
301151 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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