Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. ¥20.91, price ¥40.87, upside -48.8%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥12.75 – ¥55.24 · fair‑value band ¥15.55 – ¥26.34 · the ¥40.87 price screens above the ¥20.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of customized precision stamping special steel materials. The company provides carbon structural steel, Alloy structural steel, Spring Steel, Bearing steel, and Carbon tool steel. It also provides technical consulting services.
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Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of customized precision stamping special steel materials. The company provides carbon structural steel, Alloy structural steel, Spring Steel, Bearing steel, and Carbon tool steel. It also provides technical consulting services. The company's products are used in automotive precision stamping parts, and the application range covers automotive engine systems, transmission and clutch systems, seat systems, interior systems, precision tools, electrical components, and other fields. It serves automotive sector. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Suzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) currently trades at ¥40.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.91, implying the stock looks roughly 95.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥26.90 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥40.87 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.35, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥15.55 (bear) to ¥26.34 (bull), the price of ¥40.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 208M CNY in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.4B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 33.8 · P/S ratio 4.65 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.21 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 13.8% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −49%, 301160 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥15.55Fair Value ¥20.91Bull ¥26.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5318 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.7% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs 12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 16%
Compare Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)33.8× · Pricier than median
P/B4.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.83× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA27.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)21· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)45· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301160
Frequently asked questions
Is Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.91 versus a price of ¥40.87, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301160?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is ¥20.91 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥40.87.
What is the quality score of 301160?
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥20.91 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥15.55, optimistic scenario ¥26.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥20.91, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥40.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥15.55, optimistic scenario ¥26.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. it is ¥20.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥40.87. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301160 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥40.87, fair value ¥20.91, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301160?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥40.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥20.91). For Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. the two are ¥19.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. at about 7.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥40.87; our models calculate a fair value of ¥20.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301160?
Our models span a range for Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥15.55, base ¥20.91, optimistic ¥26.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥40.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301160?
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥20.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 27.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Balance-sheet figures for Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.4%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301160 from its 52-week high?
Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. trades at ¥40.87, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥55.24 and 30% above the low of ¥31.32 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥20.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥40.87, calculated fair value ¥20.91 (−49%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301160 calculated?
We run Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥20.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥40.87. Our model-based fair value is ¥20.91, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) come from?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. grew +16.1 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.5 %, EBIT margin +12.0 %, tax rate +2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The market capitalisation of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 7.4B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 4.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. are ¥1.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The dividend yield of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 1.2% (payout 39.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The net margin of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 13.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
The operating margin of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Revenue at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160)?
Earnings per share at Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. are growing −4.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) generate?
The free cash flow of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is −45.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. (301160) carry?
The net debt of Suzhou Xianglou New Material Co. Ltd. is 129M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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