Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co (301196) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 25.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −25.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥53.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range ¥22.38 – ¥209.28 · fair‑value band ¥32.04 – ¥53.39 · the ¥82.12 price screens above the ¥42.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co (301196) currently trades at ¥82.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.71, implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 13.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 397M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥32.04 (bear case) to ¥53.39 (bull case); at ¥82.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -48%, 301196 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥62.59) versus Asset-Based (¥17.77). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of various injection molds in China and internationally.
Full company description
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of various injection molds in China and internationally. It provides car central housing control, car air outlet housing, grille, engine connection body, air outlet high-gloss panel, car button two-color mold, six fuel tank two-color housing, car panel housing, steering wheel airbag, car dashboard housing, automobile instrument internal structural parts housing, car glove box housing, and automobile electric tailgate spring sleeve, used in automotive field. It also provides electronic cigarette shell, pen cap, micro injection - hearing aid, optical cable communication shell, electronic connector, and 5G communication base station cooling fan products for use in electronic field; tool box, insulation box, multi-cavity cosmetic mold, baby carriage decorative cover shell, and baby wheel hub housing products used in home filed; and analysis box shell, medical laryngeal mask, medical oxygen mask, medical breathing ball, bed drive, and silicone oxygen mask for other markets. Additionally, the company engages in the manufacturing of professional medical devices, specializing in the production of manual resuscitators and their accessories. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Xiamen City, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co reported revenue of ¥2.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥257M in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
301196 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.32 | ¥1.35 | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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