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Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. ¥42.71, price ¥90.54, upside -52.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100005758

XV Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd.

301196 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥42.71 · Strongly overvalued (−53%)
!Quality 59/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.3 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Weak on dividend: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥160.23 ¥17.13 Fair Value ¥42.71 Jan 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range ¥17.13 – ¥160.23 · fair‑value band ¥32.04 – ¥53.39 · the ¥90.54 price screens above the ¥42.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of various injection molds in China and internationally.

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Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of various injection molds in China and internationally. It provides car central housing control, car air outlet housing, grille, engine connection body, air outlet high-gloss panel, car button two-color mold, six fuel tank two-color housing, car panel housing, steering wheel airbag, car dashboard housing, automobile instrument internal structural parts housing, car glove box housing, and automobile electric tailgate spring sleeve, used in automotive field. It also provides electronic cigarette shell, pen cap, micro injection - hearing aid, optical cable communication shell, electronic connector, and 5G communication base station cooling fan products for use in electronic field; tool box, insulation box, multi-cavity cosmetic mold, baby carriage decorative cover shell, and baby wheel hub housing products used in home filed; and analysis box shell, medical laryngeal mask, medical oxygen mask, medical breathing ball, bed drive, and silicone oxygen mask for other markets. Additionally, the company engages in the manufacturing of professional medical devices, specializing in the production of manual resuscitators and their accessories. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Xiamen City, China.

Stock analysis

Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196) currently trades at ¥90.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.71, implying the stock looks roughly 112.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥62.59 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥90.54 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥17.77, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥32.04 (bear) to ¥53.39 (bull), the price of ¥90.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was 257M CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 25.1B CNY (≈ $3.8B) · P/E ratio 99.0 · P/S ratio 11.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.01 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −53%, 301196 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥32.04 Fair Value ¥42.71 Bull ¥53.39
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5194 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥21.55 ¥22.82 ¥24.86 76
EPV ¥23.56 ¥26.64 ¥29.30 74
Owner Earnings ¥18.10 ¥35.22 ¥69.83 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥18.10 ¥35.22 ¥69.83 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥13.83 ¥96.46 ¥135.36 63
Lynch FV ¥33.60 ¥48.00 ¥62.40 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥33.60 ¥48.00 ¥62.40 57
EPV ¥23.56 ¥26.64 ¥29.30 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥32.04 ¥42.71 ¥53.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥25.93 ¥34.58 ¥43.22 58
P/B Multiple ¥25.93 ¥34.58 ¥43.22 55
EV/EBIT ¥34.46 ¥44.61 ¥54.75 66
EV/EBITDA ¥38.29 ¥49.71 ¥61.13 67
EV/Revenue ¥25.75 ¥35.06 ¥44.37 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥13.26 ¥17.77 ¥26.52 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥21.55 ¥22.82 ¥24.86 76
ROIC Compounder ¥23.56 ¥26.81 ¥33.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥43.81 ¥62.59 ¥81.37 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 14%
2025 sits 52% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

301196 screens 112% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 99.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 7.50× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 11.05× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 65.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)66 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)29 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €171.10 €109.36 −36%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301196

Frequently asked questions

Is Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥42.71 versus a price of ¥90.54, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301196?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is ¥42.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥90.54.
What is the quality score of 301196?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥42.71 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥32.04, optimistic scenario ¥53.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥42.71, about −53% upside versus a price of ¥90.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥32.04, optimistic scenario ¥53.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. it is ¥42.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥90.54. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301196 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥90.54, fair value ¥42.71, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301196?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥90.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥42.71). For Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. the two are ¥47.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. at about 25.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥90.54; our models calculate a fair value of ¥42.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301196?
Our models span a range for Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥32.04, base ¥42.71, optimistic ¥53.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥90.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301196?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 99.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥42.71 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.5, P/S 11.0, EV/EBITDA 65.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301196 from its 52-week high?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. trades at ¥90.54, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥160.23 and 71% above the low of ¥52.92 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥42.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥90.54, calculated fair value ¥42.71 (−53%), Quality Score 59/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301196 calculated?
We run Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥42.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥90.54. Our model-based fair value is ¥42.71, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥53.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The market capitalisation of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 25.1B CNY (≈ $3.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 11.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. are ¥2.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 99.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The dividend yield of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 1.4% (payout 64.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The net margin of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
The operating margin of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Revenue at Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is growing +13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. are growing −8.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196) generate?
The free cash flow of Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. is −1.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. (301196) hold?
Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co. Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 397M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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