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Wankai New Materials Co (301216) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 14.3B CNY

WN Wankai New Materials Co 301216 · SHE
Price¥17.45
Fair Value¥7.29
Upside-58.2%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.48 – ¥9.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −17.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥30.98 ¥9.00 Fair Value ¥7.29 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range ¥9.00 – ¥30.98 · fair‑value band ¥5.48 – ¥9.12 · the ¥17.45 price screens above the ¥7.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Wankai New Materials Co (301216) currently trades at ¥17.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.29, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wankai New Materials Co generated revenue of 15.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at 5.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.48 (bear case) to ¥9.12 (bull case); at ¥17.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -58%, 301216 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.65 ¥7.37 ¥6.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.00 ¥2.73 ¥3.36 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.81 ¥4.02 ¥5.22 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.98 ¥4.42 ¥5.65 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.7200 ¥1.02 ¥1.33 46
EPV ¥2.00 ¥2.73 ¥3.36 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.72 ¥4.95 ¥6.19 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.72 ¥4.95 ¥6.19 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.72 ¥4.95 ¥6.19 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.73 ¥5.76 ¥7.80 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.23 ¥11.77 ¥15.30 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.91 ¥5.18 ¥7.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.32 ¥7.13 ¥10.65 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.65 ¥7.37 ¥6.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.00 ¥2.73 ¥3.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.81 ¥4.02 ¥5.22 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥7.13) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.2%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow −1.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 33.8
More key figures
Operating margin 5.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7300
EPS growth (YoY) +643%
Net debt 5.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 21
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wankai New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) materials in China and internationally. The company offers bottle-grade PET chips used in the production of bottle packaging containers, such as water bottles, beverage bottles, edible oil bottles, and cosmetic bottles, etc.

Full company description

Wankai New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) materials in China and internationally. The company offers bottle-grade PET chips used in the production of bottle packaging containers, such as water bottles, beverage bottles, edible oil bottles, and cosmetic bottles, etc. It also provides non-bottle-grade PET chips, including super bright PET for BOPET film, PET polymer to produce fiber or filament yarn, and polyester PET chips for producing photovoltaic back films. In addition, the company offers high-brightness PET resins, PETG resins for heat shrink films and PETG sheets, polyester resins for injection molding, and PCR-PET resins. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Wankai New Materials Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wankai New Materials Co reported revenue of ¥15.5B in FY2025 versus ¥9.6B in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥169M in FY2025, compounding −21.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+8.2%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 ¥9.6B
FY22 ¥19.4B
FY23 ¥17.5B
FY24 ¥17.2B
FY25 ¥15.5B
Net income −21.3%/yr
FY21 ¥442M
FY22 ¥955M
FY23 ¥437M
FY24 −¥300M
FY25 ¥169M

301216 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wankai New Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301216

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 51 · sector 19
PAST 33 · sector 23
HEALTH 72 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wankai New Materials Co (301216) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.29 versus a price of ¥17.45, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301216?
Our model-based fair value for Wankai New Materials Co is ¥7.29 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.45.
What is the quality score of 301216?
Wankai New Materials Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wankai New Materials Co (301216)?
Wankai New Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301216?
The net profit margin of Wankai New Materials Co is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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