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Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock ¥20.82, price ¥65.98, that is 68.4% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE100006475

HH Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A logo Broad data Nov 8, 2026

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A

301225 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 68% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Broad data
Revenue last quarter +86% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.9 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin (TTM)
0.3% dividend yield · Token dividend
Fair value ¥20.82 · Strongly overvalued (−68.4%)
Quality 35/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 38/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥122.94 ¥14.21 Fair Value ¥20.82 Jun 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range ¥14.21 – ¥122.94 · fair‑value band ¥15.62 – ¥26.03 · the ¥65.98 price screens above the ¥20.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine air intake and HEV intake systems for automobiles, motorcycles, and general machinery.

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Its products include air filters of automobiles, motorcycle air filters, small general engine air filters, carbon canisters, plastic and rubber parts, ATV car air filters, filter elements, welding products, injection products, blow molding products, and vulcanized products.

It also provides hydrogen fuel cell systems, fuel evaporation, new energy thermal management systems, and cabin air management systems. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Hengbo Automobile & Motorcycle Parts Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. in November 2014.

The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Taizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) currently trades at ¥65.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.82, 68% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥22.73 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥65.98 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.24, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥15.62 (bear) to ¥26.03 (bull), the price of ¥65.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 633M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 136M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 9.9B CNY (≈ $1.5B) Small · P/E ratio 65.3 · P/S ratio 7.82 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.01 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −68%, 301225 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥3.24 to ¥40.34). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥15.62 Fair Value ¥20.82 Bull ¥26.03
Price ¥65.98 · Downside -68.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6804 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥8.46 ¥8.87 ¥9.83 73
EPV ¥8.85 ¥9.69 ¥10.37 71
ROIC Compounder ¥8.85 ¥9.69 ¥10.37 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.44 ¥37.33 ¥51.94 61
Lynch FV ¥10.55 ¥15.07 ¥19.59 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.55 ¥15.07 ¥19.59 55
EPV ¥8.85 ¥9.69 ¥10.37 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.15 ¥3.70 ¥4.90 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.15 ¥3.46 ¥3.97 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.62 ¥20.82 ¥26.03 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.12 ¥9.49 ¥11.86 58
P/B Multiple ¥30.26 ¥40.34 ¥50.43 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.42 ¥22.48 ¥27.54 66
EV/EBITDA ¥14.97 ¥19.21 ¥23.46 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.88 ¥11.72 ¥14.57 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.14 ¥3.24 ¥4.05 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.46 ¥8.87 ¥9.83 73
ROIC Compounder ¥8.85 ¥9.69 ¥10.37 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.91 ¥22.73 ¥29.55 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 39
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 89
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 31
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 42
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 14%

301225 screens overvalued: fair value 68% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.8% · Below median
Return on assets 5.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 6.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 5.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 85.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 65.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 6.30× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.00× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 56.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Magna International Inc MGA $61.86 $98.98 +60% vs 301225
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 349,000 KRW 534,994 KRW +53% vs 301225
Genuine Parts Company GPC $122.80 $115.96 −6% vs 301225
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €94.45 €72.88 −23% vs 301225
AutoZone, Inc AZO $3,216 $2,468 −23% vs 301225
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥55.92 ¥40.74 −27% vs 301225
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥44.71 ¥32.24 −28% vs 301225
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹158.55 ₹96.06 −39% vs 301225
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $89.89 $48.66 −46% vs 301225
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹50,700 ₹25,168 −50% vs 301225

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301225

Frequently asked questions

Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.82 versus a price of ¥65.98, about 68% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301225?
Our model-based fair value for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is ¥20.82 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥65.98.
What is the quality score of 301225?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥20.82 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥15.62, optimistic scenario ¥26.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥20.82, about 68% lower versus a price of ¥65.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥15.62, optimistic scenario ¥26.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A pays a dividend of ¥0.214 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 21.2% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.3% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.3% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A it is ¥20.82 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥65.98. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 301225 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥65.98, fair value ¥20.82, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301225?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥65.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥20.82). For Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥45.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A at about 9.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥65.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥20.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301225?
Our models span a range for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥15.62, base ¥20.82, optimistic ¥26.03 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥65.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301225?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 65.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥20.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.3, P/S 6.0, EV/EBITDA 56.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301225 from its 52-week high?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥65.98, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥122.94 and 47% above the low of ¥44.77 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥20.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥65.98, calculated fair value ¥20.82 (−68%), Quality Score 35/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301225 calculated?
We run Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥20.82 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥65.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥20.82, about 68% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The market capitalisation of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 9.9B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 7.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Earnings per share at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A are ¥1.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The dividend yield of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 0.3% (payout 21.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The net margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The operating margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Revenue at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is growing +85.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Earnings per share at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A are growing −90.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) generate?
The free cash flow of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is −275M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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