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Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A ¥26.78, price ¥61.45, upside -56.4%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100006475

HH Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A

301225 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥26.78 · Strongly overvalued (−56%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +16.9 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.49% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥87.82 ¥10.15 Fair Value ¥26.78 Jun 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range ¥10.15 – ¥87.82 · fair‑value band ¥20.86 – ¥32.70 · the ¥61.45 price screens above the ¥26.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine air intake and HEV intake systems for automobiles, motorcycles, and general machinery.

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Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine air intake and HEV intake systems for automobiles, motorcycles, and general machinery. Its products include air filters of automobiles, motorcycle air filters, small general engine air filters, carbon canisters, plastic and rubber parts, ATV car air filters, filter elements, welding products, injection products, blow molding products, and vulcanized products. It also provides hydrogen fuel cell systems, fuel evaporation, new energy thermal management systems, and cabin air management systems. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Hengbo Automobile & Motorcycle Parts Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. in November 2014. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Taizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) currently trades at ¥61.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.78, implying the stock looks roughly 129.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥31.69 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥61.45 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥10.19, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥20.86 (bear) to ¥32.70 (bull), the price of ¥61.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 633M CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was 136M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 9.4B CNY (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 48.4 · P/S ratio 5.79 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.27 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −56%, 301225 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥20.86 Fair Value ¥26.78 Bull ¥32.70
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.7096 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.70 ¥13.71 ¥16.46 73
EPV ¥14.37 ¥16.15 ¥17.68 71
ROIC Compounder ¥14.37 ¥17.48 ¥21.46 69
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.97 ¥52.03 ¥72.40 61
Lynch FV ¥14.70 ¥21.00 ¥27.30 58
PEG = 1.0 ¥14.70 ¥21.00 ¥27.30 55
EPV ¥14.37 ¥16.15 ¥17.68 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥21.77 ¥29.02 ¥36.28 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.92 ¥13.23 ¥16.53 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.82 ¥22.43 ¥28.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥24.27 ¥31.33 ¥38.38 66
EV/EBITDA ¥20.86 ¥26.78 ¥32.70 67
EV/Revenue ¥12.37 ¥16.34 ¥20.31 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.61 ¥10.19 ¥15.21 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.70 ¥13.71 ¥16.46 73
ROIC Compounder ¥14.37 ¥17.48 ¥21.46 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.18 ¥31.69 ¥41.19 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.7%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 14%

301225 screens 129% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.96× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.71× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 50.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)33 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Magna International Inc MGA $63.79 $68.17 +7%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹161.77 ₹96.97 −40%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.71 ¥28.28 −38%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,290 ₹26,308 −46%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,009 ₹415.47 −79%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301225

Frequently asked questions

Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥26.78 versus a price of ¥61.45, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301225?
Our model-based fair value for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is ¥26.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥61.45.
What is the quality score of 301225?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥26.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥20.86, optimistic scenario ¥32.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥26.78, about −56% upside versus a price of ¥61.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥20.86, optimistic scenario ¥32.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A it is ¥26.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥61.45. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 301225 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥61.45, fair value ¥26.78, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301225?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥61.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥26.78). For Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥34.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A at about 9.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥61.45; our models calculate a fair value of ¥26.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301225?
Our models span a range for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥20.86, base ¥26.78, optimistic ¥32.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥61.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301225?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥26.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.0, P/S 7.7, EV/EBITDA 50.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301225 from its 52-week high?
Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥61.45, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥87.82 and 62% above the low of ¥37.82 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥26.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥61.45, calculated fair value ¥26.78 (−56%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301225 calculated?
We run Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥26.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥61.45. Our model-based fair value is ¥26.78, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥32.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The market capitalisation of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 9.4B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 5.79 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Earnings per share at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A are ¥1.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 48.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The dividend yield of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 0.5% (payout 23.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The net margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
The operating margin of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Revenue at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is growing +35.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225)?
Earnings per share at Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A are growing −21.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A (301225) generate?
The free cash flow of Hengbo Holdings Co. Ltd. A is −275M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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