Hengbo Holdings (301225) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 9.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price −39.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥23.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range ¥20.00 – ¥173.00 · fair‑value band ¥14.90 – ¥23.36 · the ¥56.74 price screens above the ¥19.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Hengbo Holdings (301225) currently trades at ¥56.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.13, implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hengbo Holdings generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue grew 35.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 71.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.90 (bear case) to ¥23.36 (bull case); at ¥56.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -66%, 301225 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥31.69) versus Asset-Based (¥10.19). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine air intake and HEV intake systems for automobiles, motorcycles, and general machinery.
Full company description
Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of internal combustion engine air intake and HEV intake systems for automobiles, motorcycles, and general machinery. Its products include air filters of automobiles, motorcycle air filters, small general engine air filters, carbon canisters, plastic and rubber parts, ATV car air filters, filter elements, welding products, injection products, blow molding products, and vulcanized products. It also provides hydrogen fuel cell systems, fuel evaporation, new energy thermal management systems, and cabin air management systems. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Hengbo Automobile & Motorcycle Parts Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hengbo Holdings Co.,Ltd. in November 2014. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Taizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hengbo Holdings reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥633M in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥136M in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.
301225 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
Compare Hengbo Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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