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Huarong Chemical Co (301256) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.8B CNY

HC Huarong Chemical Co 301256 · SHE
Price¥10.48
Fair Value¥3.03
Upside-71.1%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.17% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.28 – ¥3.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.54 to ¥3.03 (+19.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥18.66 ¥5.11 Fair Value ¥3.03 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range ¥5.11 – ¥18.66 · fair‑value band ¥2.28 – ¥3.79 · the ¥10.48 price screens above the ¥3.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Huarong Chemical Co (301256) currently trades at ¥10.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.03, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huarong Chemical Co generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 26.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at 31.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.28 (bear case) to ¥3.79 (bull case); at ¥10.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -71%, 301256 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.65 ¥2.62 ¥2.33 76
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.35 ¥3.36 ¥4.37 68
ROIC Compounder ¥1.50 ¥1.65 ¥1.78 67
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.74 ¥5.03 ¥9.38 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.02 ¥6.25 ¥8.72 54
Lynch FV ¥1.79 ¥2.56 ¥3.33 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.79 ¥2.56 ¥3.33 46
EPV ¥1.50 ¥1.65 ¥1.78 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.54 ¥3.18 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.54 ¥3.18 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.91 ¥2.54 ¥3.18 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.94 ¥2.41 ¥2.87 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.10 ¥2.62 ¥3.13 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.75 ¥2.27 ¥2.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.80 ¥2.41 ¥3.60 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.65 ¥2.62 ¥2.33 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.50 ¥1.65 ¥1.78 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.35 ¥3.36 ¥4.37 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.03) versus Economic Profit (¥1.65). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.2%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 4.2%
Free cash flow −8.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 74.9
More key figures
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net debt 31.7M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd. develops and sells potassium and chlorine products in China. The company offers potassium series, including potassium hydroxide flakes, food grade potassium hydroxide, reagent grade potassium hydroxide, electronic-grade potassium hydroxide, powdered potassium hydroxide, potassium fluorosilicate, and electronic chemicals.

Full company description

Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd. develops and sells potassium and chlorine products in China. The company offers potassium series, including potassium hydroxide flakes, food grade potassium hydroxide, reagent grade potassium hydroxide, electronic-grade potassium hydroxide, powdered potassium hydroxide, potassium fluorosilicate, and electronic chemicals. It also provides water treatment chemicals, such as sodium hypochlorite, industrial grade polyaluminum chloride, polyaluminum chloride for drinking water, liquid chlorine, dilute sulfuric acid, and sodium hydroxide. In addition, the company offers other chemicals, including SOP/potassium solphate, potassium chloride, potassium phosphate monobasic, potassium fluoride, potassium permanganate, potassium disphophate, potassium formate, potassium phosphate dibasic trihydrate, hydrofluoric acid, MAP/ammonium dihydrogen phosphate, DAP ammonium phosphate, propylene carbonate, EC/ethylene carbonate, urea phosphate, and phosphoric acid. Further, its products are used in the electronics, high-grade detergents and cosmetics industries. Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Pengzhou, China. Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Newhope Chemicals Investment Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huarong Chemical Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥644M in FY2021, a compound +27.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥71.8M in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+39.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+8.5%
Revenue +27.2%/yr
FY21 ¥644M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income −8.4%/yr
FY21 ¥102M
FY22 ¥122M
FY23 ¥139M
FY24 ¥100M
FY25 ¥71.8M

301256 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huarong Chemical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301256

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 74.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.22× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 61.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 17 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

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Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huarong Chemical Co (301256) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.03 versus a price of ¥10.48, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301256?
Our model-based fair value for Huarong Chemical Co is ¥3.03 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.48.
What is the quality score of 301256?
Huarong Chemical Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huarong Chemical Co (301256)?
Huarong Chemical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301256?
The net profit margin of Huarong Chemical Co is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huarong Chemical Co pay a dividend?
Huarong Chemical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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