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Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co (301305) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY

SL Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co 301305 · SHE
Price¥22.71
Fair Value¥12.99
Upside-42.8%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.30% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.20 – ¥19.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −15.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥31.85 ¥12.27 Fair Value ¥12.99 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range ¥12.27 – ¥31.85 · fair‑value band ¥12.20 – ¥19.14 · the ¥22.71 price screens above the ¥12.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co (301305) currently trades at ¥22.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.99, implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 544M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.20 (bear case) to ¥19.14 (bull case); at ¥22.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -43%, 301305 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.51 ¥13.07 ¥13.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.36 ¥7.10 ¥11.65 74
ROIC Compounder ¥10.41 ¥12.41 ¥14.13 72
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.36 ¥7.07 ¥12.61 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.03 ¥20.16 ¥32.50 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥7.14 ¥13.52 ¥21.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.24 ¥4.03 ¥7.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.06 ¥12.29 ¥19.44 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.74 ¥8.10 ¥12.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.46 ¥11.17 ¥13.26 54
EPV ¥10.41 ¥12.41 ¥14.13 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥17.27 ¥23.03 ¥28.79 63
P/S Multiple ¥11.14 ¥14.86 ¥18.57 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.98 ¥18.64 ¥23.30 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.22 ¥27.71 ¥35.19 53
EV/EBITDA ¥22.48 ¥30.73 ¥38.97 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.11 ¥11.12 ¥15.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.84 ¥10.50 ¥15.68 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.36 ¥7.10 ¥11.65 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.51 ¥13.07 ¥13.74 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.41 ¥12.41 ¥14.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.20 ¥17.42 ¥22.65 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥18.64) versus Growth DCF (¥7.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.9%
Net margin 14.9%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 24.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 26.2
More key figures
Operating margin 26.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.17
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.1%
Net debt 544M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 45
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co., Ltd engages in the investment, construction, and operation of biomass waste resource treatment projects in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co., Ltd engages in the investment, construction, and operation of biomass waste resource treatment projects in China and internationally. The company is involved in the biomass waste resource recycling business, including the treatment and resource utilization of urban biomass waste, such as catering and kitchen waste, and animal solid and domestic waste; and the production of various resource products comprising biodiesel, green electricity, and biogas. It also engages in property leasing, supply chain, investment, synthetic biology, medical research and experimental development, bioenergy, other electricity production, biotechnology extension, technology promotion and application, and energy storage activities. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Leo-King Environmental Group Company Limited and changed its name to Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co., Ltd in November 2024. Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co., Ltd was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥265M in FY2025, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥1.8B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income +3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥228M
FY22 ¥243M
FY23 ¥179M
FY24 ¥216M
FY25 ¥265M

301305 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301305

Peer Group

Waste Management · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 45.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 10
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 30 · sector 24
HEALTH 79 · sector 82
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.18 ¥20.91 +29%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co (301305) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.99 versus a price of ¥22.71, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301305?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co is ¥12.99 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.71.
What is the quality score of 301305?
Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co (301305)?
Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301305?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co is about 14.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Lions King Hi-Tech Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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