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Guangdong Deerma Technology Co (301332) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY

GD Guangdong Deerma Technology Co 301332 · SHE
Price¥7.97
Fair Value¥4.95
Upside-37.9%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.77% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.63 – ¥6.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +2.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥15.07 ¥7.49 Fair Value ¥4.95 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range ¥7.49 – ¥15.07 · fair‑value band ¥4.63 – ¥6.07 · the ¥7.97 price screens above the ¥4.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Deerma Technology Co (301332) currently trades at ¥7.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.95, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Deerma Technology Co generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.63 (bear case) to ¥6.07 (bull case); at ¥7.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -38%, 301332 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.75 ¥4.71 ¥4.26 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.50 ¥3.72 ¥3.91 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.27 ¥4.67 ¥6.07 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.70 ¥2.91 ¥3.30 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.91 ¥2.66 ¥3.11 54
EPV ¥3.50 ¥3.72 ¥3.91 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.63 ¥6.18 ¥7.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.58 ¥4.77 ¥5.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.58 ¥4.77 ¥5.97 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.73 ¥5.61 ¥6.48 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.47 ¥7.93 ¥9.38 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.87 ¥4.63 ¥5.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.20 ¥4.29 ¥6.41 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.75 ¥4.71 ¥4.26 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.50 ¥3.72 ¥3.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.27 ¥4.67 ¥6.07 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.77) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.6%
Net margin 3.9%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow −56.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 29.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800
Dividend yield 1.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Deerma Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, production, and marketing of electrical appliances under the DEERMA brand name in China.

Full company description

Guangdong Deerma Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, production, and marketing of electrical appliances under the DEERMA brand name in China. The company offers humidifiers, dehumidifiers, and incense dispensers; vacuum cleaners, steam mops, mite removal instruments, and water mops; meat grinders, blenders, juicers, food processors, and stirrers; and breakfast makers, electric kettles, air frying pans, electric heating cups, sandwich makers, handheld drip kettles, toasters, electric ovens and frying pans, steak grilles, and electric heating containers. It also provides portable steamers, electric fans, germicidal lamps, lint removers, hand dryers, hand sanitizer dispensers, shoes dryers, electric heaters, and clothes dryers. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Deerma Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥3.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥130M in FY2025, compounding −6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 22/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.2%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.0B
FY22 ¥3.3B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥3.5B
FY25 ¥3.4B
Net income −6.6%/yr
FY21 ¥170M
FY22 ¥191M
FY23 ¥109M
FY24 ¥142M
FY25 ¥130M

301332 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Deerma Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301332

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 18 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Deerma Technology Co (301332) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.95 versus a price of ¥7.97, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301332?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Deerma Technology Co is ¥4.95 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.97.
What is the quality score of 301332?
Guangdong Deerma Technology Co has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Deerma Technology Co (301332)?
Guangdong Deerma Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301332?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Deerma Technology Co is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Deerma Technology Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong Deerma Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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