Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥24.93, price ¥22.66, upside +10.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range ¥14.69 – ¥28.03 · fair‑value band ¥18.08 – ¥31.79 · the ¥22.66 price screens below the ¥24.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, and sale of home furnishing products in China, Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally.
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Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, and sale of home furnishing products in China, Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company offers home storage and decor, patio and garden supplies, and sports and outdoor gear; furniture products; and pet supply solutions for rest, travel, play, and pet waste management. It sells its products under the SONGMICS HOME, SONGMICS, VASAGLE, and Feandrea brands through e-commerce platforms. The company also engages in supply chain management activities. It exports its products. Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) currently trades at ¥22.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.93, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥48.70 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥22.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.62, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥18.08 (bear) to ¥31.79 (bull), the price of ¥22.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 8.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 336M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 30.2 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7500 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 10%, 301376 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥18.08Fair Value ¥24.93Bull ¥31.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2560 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−19.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.6% a year for the price and +16.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301376
Frequently asked questions
Is Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.93 versus a price of ¥22.66, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 301376?
Our model-based fair value for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥24.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.66.
What is the quality score of 301376?
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥24.93 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥18.08, optimistic scenario ¥31.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥24.93, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥22.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥18.08, optimistic scenario ¥31.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A would have to grow free cash flow by -19.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301376 use?
Our models discount Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A that is -19.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies -19.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (-19.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.69 %: that much free cash flow Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥24.93 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥22.66. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 301376 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥22.66, fair value ¥24.93, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301376?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥24.93). For Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥2.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 9.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.66; our models calculate a fair value of ¥24.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301376?
Our models span a range for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥18.08, base ¥24.93, optimistic ¥31.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥22.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301376?
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥24.93 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301376 from its 52-week high?
Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥22.66, about 5% below its 52-week high of ¥23.80 and 49% above the low of ¥15.19 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥24.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥22.66, calculated fair value ¥24.93 (+10%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301376 calculated?
We run Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥24.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥22.66. Our model-based fair value is ¥24.93, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The market capitalisation of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Earnings per share at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.7500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The dividend yield of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 1.8% (payout 53.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The net margin of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
The operating margin of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Revenue at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376)?
Earnings per share at Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing −32.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A (301376) carry?
The net debt of Ziel Home Furnishing Technology Co. Ltd. A is 669M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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