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Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co (301397) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY

CS Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co 301397 · SHE
Price¥26.22
Fair Value¥13.36
Upside-49.0%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.52% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.61 – ¥16.32 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price −25.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥8.61 to ¥16.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥49.10 ¥19.57 Fair Value ¥13.36 Jun 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range ¥19.57 – ¥49.10 · fair‑value band ¥8.61 – ¥16.32 · the ¥26.22 price screens above the ¥13.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co (301397) currently trades at ¥26.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.36, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 43.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.61 (bear case) to ¥16.32 (bull case); at ¥26.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -49%, 301397 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.76 ¥15.32 ¥26.89 80
Residual Income ¥10.28 ¥10.76 ¥11.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.69 ¥17.05 ¥27.68 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.03 ¥14.15 ¥27.42 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.31 ¥2.64 ¥3.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥9.69 ¥17.05 ¥28.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.87 ¥21.91 ¥36.96 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.17 ¥27.73 ¥44.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.14 ¥16.65 ¥27.98 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.91 ¥20.47 ¥37.42 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.47 ¥24.49 ¥44.60 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.18 ¥39.64 ¥55.42 54
Lynch FV ¥11.49 ¥16.41 ¥21.33 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥11.49 ¥16.41 ¥21.33 46
EPV ¥8.13 ¥9.10 ¥9.94 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥14.99 ¥19.99 ¥24.98 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.30 ¥11.07 ¥13.83 58
P/B Multiple ¥11.58 ¥15.44 ¥19.31 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.53 ¥17.37 ¥21.21 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.56 ¥17.42 ¥21.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.75 ¥13.07 ¥16.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.43 ¥8.62 ¥12.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.76 ¥15.32 ¥26.89 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥9.69 ¥17.05 ¥27.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.28 ¥10.76 ¥11.35 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.13 ¥9.10 ¥9.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥16.58 ¥23.68 ¥30.78 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥23.68) versus Asset-Based (¥8.62). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.3%
Net margin 9.4%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow 77.2M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 43.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automobile parts in China and internationally. It offers automotive fuel systems, evaporative emission systems, vacuum braking systems, and new energy and computing center thermal management systems.

Full company description

Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automobile parts in China and internationally. It offers automotive fuel systems, evaporative emission systems, vacuum braking systems, and new energy and computing center thermal management systems. The company also provides automotive fluid piping systems, new energy battery/energy storage pipeline systems, pipes, interior and exterior trims, fasteners, and other products. It serves vehicle manufacturers, battery and energy storage companies, and component manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥726M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥141M in FY2025, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.1%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY21 ¥726M
FY22 ¥849M
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.4B
Net income +6.4%/yr
FY21 ¥110M
FY22 ¥153M
FY23 ¥151M
FY24 ¥123M
FY25 ¥141M

301397 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301397

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 30 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co (301397) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.36 versus a price of ¥26.22, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301397?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co is ¥13.36 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥26.22.
What is the quality score of 301397?
Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co (301397)?
Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 301397?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co pay a dividend?
Chongqing Sulian Plastic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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