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CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. ¥14.96, price ¥22.45, upside -33.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100006WF5

CN Some data Sep 24, 2026

CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd.

301665 · SHE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ¥14.96 · Overvalued (−33%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.67% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥38.56 ¥20.96 Fair Value ¥14.96 Apr 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range ¥20.96 – ¥38.56 · fair‑value band ¥11.22 – ¥18.69 · the ¥22.45 price screens above the ¥14.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pesticide products and functional chemicals in China, South America, North America, the Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally.

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CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pesticide products and functional chemicals in China, South America, North America, the Southeast Asia, Europe, and internationally. It offers 2,4-D, an herbicide in the phenoxy acetic acid; Chlorothalonil, a protective fungicide; Azoxystrobin, a strobilurin fungicide; and Thiocarbamate herbicides. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Nantong, China. CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Tahoe Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665) currently trades at ¥22.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.96, implying the stock looks roughly 50.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥19.74 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥22.45 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥5.11, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥11.22 (bear) to ¥18.69 (bull), the price of ¥22.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 5.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 466M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 10.1B CNY (≈ $1.5B) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.18 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −33%, 301665 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥11.22 Fair Value ¥14.96 Bull ¥18.69
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4243 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥3.28 ¥5.11 ¥8.07 75
EPV ¥13.40 ¥15.09 ¥16.51 74
Residual Income ¥7.14 ¥8.21 ¥14.38 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.28 ¥5.11 ¥8.07 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.04 ¥37.63 ¥52.13 63
Lynch FV ¥10.39 ¥14.84 ¥19.29 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.39 ¥14.84 ¥19.29 57
EPV ¥13.40 ¥15.09 ¥16.51 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.20 ¥17.60 ¥21.99 63
P/S Multiple ¥13.20 ¥17.60 ¥21.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.20 ¥17.60 ¥21.99 55
EV/EBIT ¥19.10 ¥25.16 ¥31.21 66
EV/EBITDA ¥18.23 ¥23.99 ¥29.75 67
EV/Revenue ¥13.47 ¥18.84 ¥24.21 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.00 ¥5.37 ¥8.01 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.14 ¥8.21 ¥14.38 74
ROIC Compounder ¥15.01 ¥19.22 ¥24.41 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.82 ¥19.74 ¥25.67 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.7%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 15%

301665 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.80× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.77× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)67 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)53 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Nutrien Ltd NTR $75.43 $82.61 +10%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.87 ¥27.36 +10%
CF Industries Holdings CF $120.59 $161.00 +34%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 124.00 SAR 150.65 SAR +21%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 446.70 kr 659.87 +48%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥27.95 ¥50.49 +81%
The Mosaic Company MOS $24.73 $25.77 +4%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥39.75 ¥38.01 −4%
ICL Group ICL $5.40 $2.98 −45%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301665

Frequently asked questions

Is CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.96 versus a price of ¥22.45, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301665?
Our model-based fair value for CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is ¥14.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥22.45.
What is the quality score of 301665?
CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.22, optimistic scenario ¥18.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.96, about −33% upside versus a price of ¥22.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.22, optimistic scenario ¥18.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.67% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. it is ¥14.96 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥22.45. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 301665 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥22.45, fair value ¥14.96, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301665?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥22.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.96). For CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. the two are ¥7.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. at about 10.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥22.45; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301665?
Our models span a range for CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥11.22, base ¥14.96, optimistic ¥18.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥22.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301665?
CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.96 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Balance-sheet figures for CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301665 from its 52-week high?
CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. trades at ¥22.45, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥32.52 and 7% above the low of ¥20.96 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥22.45, calculated fair value ¥14.96 (−33%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301665 calculated?
We run CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥22.45. Our model-based fair value is ¥14.96, about −33% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The market capitalisation of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 10.1B CNY (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Earnings per share at CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. are ¥1.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The dividend yield of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 2.7% (payout 50.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The net margin of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
The operating margin of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 16.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Revenue at CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is growing +33.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665)?
Earnings per share at CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. are growing +57.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665) generate?
The free cash flow of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is −90.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. (301665) carry?
The net debt of CAC Nantong Chemical Co., Ltd. is 201M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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