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Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 287B TWD

NM Novatek Microelectronics Corp 3034 · TW
Price542.00 TWD
Fair Value486.67 TWD
Upside-10.2%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.91% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range 340.12 TWD – 606.08 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 340.12 TWD (bear) to 606.08 TWD (bull), base 486.67 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

550.00 TWD 167.69 TWD Fair Value 486.67 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 167.69 TWD – 550.00 TWD · fair‑value band 340.12 TWD – 606.08 TWD · the 542.00 TWD price screens above the 486.67 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034) currently trades at 542.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 486.67 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 10.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Novatek Microelectronics Corp generated revenue of 96.7B TWD at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue declined 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 41.9B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 340.12 TWD (bear case) to 606.08 TWD (bull case); at 542.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -10%, 3034 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 166.52 TWD 198.69 TWD 543.86 TWD 76
Growth DCF 322.41 TWD 456.38 TWD 659.32 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 269.33 TWD 588.00 TWD 989.33 TWD 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 317.53 TWD 468.45 TWD 712.04 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 396.02 TWD 594.75 TWD 915.49 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 326.35 TWD 490.11 TWD 700.30 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 338.98 TWD 513.87 TWD 718.42 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 392.39 TWD 614.40 TWD 849.00 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 312.39 TWD 464.02 TWD 670.02 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 329.40 TWD 480.96 TWD 684.25 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 364.31 TWD 552.59 TWD 786.80 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 182.71 TWD 584.28 TWD 779.15 TWD 54
Lynch FV 129.21 TWD 184.59 TWD 239.97 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 129.21 TWD 184.59 TWD 239.97 TWD 46
EPV 317.05 TWD 360.70 TWD 399.50 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 269.33 TWD 588.00 TWD 989.33 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 269.33 TWD 459.73 TWD 612.79 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 403.03 TWD 537.38 TWD 671.72 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 310.16 TWD 413.55 TWD 516.94 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 250.47 TWD 333.96 TWD 417.45 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 474.30 TWD 609.17 TWD 744.03 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 383.11 TWD 487.57 TWD 592.04 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 342.44 TWD 459.32 TWD 576.20 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 55.66 TWD 74.58 TWD 111.32 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 322.41 TWD 456.38 TWD 659.32 TWD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 326.35 TWD 489.26 TWD 677.54 TWD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 166.52 TWD 198.69 TWD 543.86 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 328.15 TWD 387.24 TWD 449.46 TWD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 338.26 TWD 483.23 TWD 628.19 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (490.11 TWD) versus Asset-Based (74.58 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 96.7B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.7%
Net margin 15.4%
Return on equity 20.5%
Free cash flow 12.5B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 18.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.4%
EPS (TTM) 26.86 TWD
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -28.4%
Net cash 41.9B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 78
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Novatek Microelectronics Corp., a fabless chip design company, designs, develops and sells a range of display driver integrated circuits (IC) and system-on-a-chip (SoC) solutions in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Novatek Microelectronics Corp., a fabless chip design company, designs, develops and sells a range of display driver integrated circuits (IC) and system-on-a-chip (SoC) solutions in Taiwan, Asia, and internationally. The company offers display driver ICs for LCD displays, televisions (TVs), notebook computers, desktop monitors, cameras, tablets, PCs, automotive displays, smartphones, and wearable products. The company also provides SoC solutions, including timing controllers, LCD monitors, TVs, power management, and digital image controllers, as well as CMOS image sensors. In addition, it is involved in the sale, development, testing, and related consulting services for IC system application software. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Novatek Microelectronics Corp reported revenue of 101B TWD in FY2025 versus 135B TWD in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 16.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding −19.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
101B TWD
Latest YoY
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+12.3%
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY21 135B TWD
FY22 110B TWD
FY23 110B TWD
FY24 103B TWD
FY25 101B TWD
Net income −19.5%/yr
FY21 38.9B TWD
FY22 28.0B TWD
FY23 23.3B TWD
FY24 20.3B TWD
FY25 16.4B TWD

3034 screens 10% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Novatek Microelectronics Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3034

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −10% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 60
PAST 82 · sector 24
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 98 · sector 22

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €367.75 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$52.57 C$7.50 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €425.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 486.67 TWD versus a price of 542.00 TWD, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3034?
Our model-based fair value for Novatek Microelectronics Corp is 486.67 TWD (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 542.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3034?
Novatek Microelectronics Corp has a Quality Score of 74/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034)?
Novatek Microelectronics Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 96.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3034?
The net profit margin of Novatek Microelectronics Corp is about 15.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Novatek Microelectronics Corp pay a dividend?
Novatek Microelectronics Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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