Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd HK$0.26, price HK$0.20, upside +29.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1520 – HK$1.66 · fair‑value band HK$0.0517 – HK$0.6645 · the HK$0.2000 price screens below the HK$0.2584 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the comprehensive development, equity investment, and fund management businesses in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. The company develops and sells residences, commercial areas, hotels, industrial parks, and office buildings.
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Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the comprehensive development, equity investment, and fund management businesses in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. The company develops and sells residences, commercial areas, hotels, industrial parks, and office buildings. It also invests in new urbanisation industrial ecosphere, such as domestic and overseas direct investments, industrial funds, and education; and offers finance leasing services. In addition, the company is involved in tourism and real estate development and enterprise management activities; and provision of consulting and management services. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Pacific Climax Limited.
Stock analysis
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) currently trades at HK$0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2584, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0517 (bear) to HK$0.6645 (bull), the price of HK$0.2000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 403M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −27.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$170M (≈ $21.7M) · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.2600 · Return on equity −11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin −1,269% · Revenue (TTM) 403M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 29%, 3366 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0517Fair Value HK$0.2584Bull HK$0.6645
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−49.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −24.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.4% (2020) → −465.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+29.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−10.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−61.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.05× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)72· sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3366
Frequently asked questions
Is Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2584 versus a price of HK$0.2000, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3366?
Our model-based fair value for Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2584 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2000.
What is the quality score of 3366?
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2584 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0517, optimistic scenario HK$0.6645. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2584, about +29% upside versus a price of HK$0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0517, optimistic scenario HK$0.6645. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 403M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2584 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2000. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 3366 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2000, fair value HK$0.2584, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3366?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2584). For Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0584 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd at about HK$170M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2584 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3366?
Our models span a range for Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0517, base HK$0.2584, optimistic HK$0.6645 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Balance-sheet figures for Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3366 from its 52-week high?
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2000, about 57% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4600 and 5% above the low of HK$0.1900 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2584 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2000, calculated fair value HK$0.2584 (+29%), Quality Score 43/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3366 calculated?
We run Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2584, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2000. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2584, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0517 to HK$0.6645). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
The market capitalisation of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is HK$170M (≈ $21.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Earnings per share at Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.2600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is −11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
The operating margin of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is −1,269% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Revenue at Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is growing −61.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −49.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366)?
Earnings per share at Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd are growing −81.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) generate?
The free cash flow of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is 575M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) carry?
The net debt of Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd is 7.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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