Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$170M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.2672 to HK$0.2531 (−5.3%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2356). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.2356 to HK$0.2531), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1520 – HK$1.69 · fair‑value band HK$0.2356 – HK$0.2531 · the HK$0.2100 price screens below the HK$0.2531 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd (3366) currently trades at HK$0.2100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2531, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$403M. Revenue declined 61.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.2%. Net debt stands at HK$7.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2356 (bear case) to HK$0.2531 (bull case); at HK$0.2100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 21%, 3366 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the comprehensive development, equity investment, and fund management businesses in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. The company develops and sells residences, commercial areas, hotels, industrial parks, and office buildings.
Full company description
Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the comprehensive development, equity investment, and fund management businesses in Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong. The company develops and sells residences, commercial areas, hotels, industrial parks, and office buildings. It also invests in new urbanisation industrial ecosphere, such as domestic and overseas direct investments, industrial funds, and education; and offers finance leasing services. In addition, the company is involved in tourism and real estate development and enterprise management activities; and provision of consulting and management services. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Overseas Chinese Town (Asia) Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Pacific Climax Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$403M in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −27.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.7B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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