Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Arcadyan Technology Corp TWD 253, price TWD 154, upside +64.5%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 77.14 TWD – 249.50 TWD · fair‑value band 176.80 TWD – 342.20 TWD · the 153.50 TWD price screens below the 252.57 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Arcadyan Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of broadband access, multimedia, and wireless infrastructure solutions.
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Arcadyan Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of broadband access, multimedia, and wireless infrastructure solutions. The company provides wireless networking products, integrated access devices, digital home multimedia appliances, mobile broadband products, and wireless audiovisual products. It offers 5G solutions, such as 5G CPE and Small Cell products; broadband solutions; home wireless network solutions comprising Wi-Fi CPEs and extenders; home multimedia solutions that include set-top-boxes and voice assistant devices; and automotive solutions, such as 4G LTE /5G AI mobility connectivity solutions, 79GHz R151 turn assist radars, 77GHz radar sensing devices, and 3-in-1 vehicle antenna box/Wi Fi modules. In addition, the company is involved in the investment activities; and technical support services. It operates in Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) currently trades at 153.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 252.57 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 252.57 TWD per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the 153.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 51.52 TWD, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 176.80 TWD (bear) to 342.20 TWD (bull), the price of 153.50 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Arcadyan Technology Corp reported revenue of 53.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 38.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 40.3B TWD (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) 12.43 TWD · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 65%, 3596 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 176.80 TWDFair Value 252.57 TWDBull 342.20 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.51 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 12%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.7% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Arcadyan Technology Corp with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 311 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Above median
Fair Value upside+99% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
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Is Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 252.57 TWD versus a price of 153.50 TWD, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3596?
Our model-based fair value for Arcadyan Technology Corp is 252.57 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 153.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3596?
Arcadyan Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 252.57 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 176.80 TWD, optimistic scenario 342.20 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arcadyan Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 252.57 TWD, about +65% upside versus a price of 153.50 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 176.80 TWD, optimistic scenario 342.20 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Arcadyan Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 53.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Arcadyan Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Arcadyan Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arcadyan Technology Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -8.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3596 use?
Our models discount Arcadyan Technology Corp at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arcadyan Technology Corp that is -8.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arcadyan Technology Corp grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies -8.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arcadyan Technology Corp (-8.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.91 %: that much free cash flow Arcadyan Technology Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arcadyan Technology Corp it is 252.57 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 153.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arcadyan Technology Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3596 trades below its calculated fair value: price 153.50 TWD, fair value 252.57 TWD, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3596?
No. The price is what the market pays today (153.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (252.57 TWD). For Arcadyan Technology Corp the two are 99.07 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arcadyan Technology Corp worth?
The market values Arcadyan Technology Corp at about 40.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 153.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 252.57 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3596?
Our models span a range for Arcadyan Technology Corp: cautious scenario 176.80 TWD, base 252.57 TWD, optimistic 342.20 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 153.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3596?
Arcadyan Technology Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 252.57 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arcadyan Technology Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 18.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3596 from its 52-week high?
Arcadyan Technology Corp trades at 153.50 TWD, about 32% below its 52-week high of 226.00 TWD and 1% above the low of 152.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 252.57 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arcadyan Technology Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arcadyan Technology Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 153.50 TWD, calculated fair value 252.57 TWD (+65%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3596 calculated?
We run Arcadyan Technology Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 252.57 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Arcadyan Technology Corp currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 153.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 252.57 TWD, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arcadyan Technology Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (176.80 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (176.80 TWD to 342.20 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) come from?
Earnings per share at Arcadyan Technology Corp grew +10.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.5 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Arcadyan Technology Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The market capitalisation of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 40.3B TWD (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Earnings per share at Arcadyan Technology Corp are 12.43 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The dividend yield of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 5.9% (payout 72.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The net margin of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
The operating margin of Arcadyan Technology Corp is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Revenue at Arcadyan Technology Corp is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596)?
Earnings per share at Arcadyan Technology Corp are growing +1.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Arcadyan Technology Corp (3596) hold?
Arcadyan Technology Corp holds more cash than debt, 4.5B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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