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ESR Kendall Square REIT Co (365550) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · KR · Market cap 784B KRW

EK ESR Kendall Square REIT Co 365550 · KO
Price3,250 KRW
Fair Value2,118 KRW
Upside-34.9%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
8.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range 969.93 KRW – 3,563 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −4.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (969.93 KRW to 3,563 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5,596 KRW 2,512 KRW Fair Value 2,118 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,512 KRW – 5,596 KRW · fair‑value band 969.93 KRW – 3,563 KRW · the 3,250 KRW price screens above the 2,118 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

ESR Kendall Square REIT Co (365550) currently trades at 3,250 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,118 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 34.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Net debt stands at 1.4T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 969.93 KRW (bear case) to 3,563 KRW (bull case); at 3,250 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -35%, 365550 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 1,141 KRW 2,491 KRW 4,192 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,141 KRW 2,041 KRW 2,596 KRW 61
NCAV (Graham) 2,367 KRW 3,172 KRW 4,735 KRW 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,141 KRW 2,491 KRW 4,192 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,141 KRW 2,041 KRW 2,596 KRW 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,367 KRW 3,172 KRW 4,735 KRW 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3,172 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (2,041 KRW). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 397%
Free cash flow 8.8B KRW FY2025
Dividend yield 7.7%
Net debt 1.4T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ESR Kendall Square REIT Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics real estate investment trust (REIT) in South Korea. It owns, develops, and operates logistics facilities.

Full company description

ESR Kendall Square REIT Co., Ltd. operates as a logistics real estate investment trust (REIT) in South Korea. It owns, develops, and operates logistics facilities. The company is also involved in investing and managing investment properties, including real estate acquisition, maintenance, improvement and disposal, development, and trade of real estate lease securities. ESR Kendall Square REIT Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ESR Kendall Square REIT Co reported revenue of 59.6B KRW in FY2025 versus 30.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was −3.4B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
59.6B KRW
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.4%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY21 30.1B KRW
FY22 46.7B KRW
FY23 53.0B KRW
FY24 56.9B KRW
FY25 59.6B KRW
Net income
FY21 4.2B KRW
FY22 14.5B KRW
FY23 11.9B KRW
FY24 3.6B KRW
FY25 −3.4B KRW

365550 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ESR Kendall Square REIT Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/365550

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 397% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 39 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ESR Kendall Square REIT Co (365550) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,118 KRW versus a price of 3,250 KRW, about −35% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 365550?
Our model-based fair value for ESR Kendall Square REIT Co is 2,118 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3,250 KRW.
What is the quality score of 365550?
ESR Kendall Square REIT Co has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 365550?
The net profit margin of ESR Kendall Square REIT Co is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ESR Kendall Square REIT Co pay a dividend?
ESR Kendall Square REIT Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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