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Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings HK$0.03, price HK$0.03, upside -13.8%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG4163E1070

GH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings

3683 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Fair value HK$0.0276 · Overvalued (−13.8%)

Quality 34/100

Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.2 %/yr in HKD)

Loss-making · -128.1% net margin (TTM)

High debt

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (1/11)

Narrow moat 11/100

Thin data

⟳ Cyclical

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.0245 to bull HK$0.0307 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 34/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0300 – HK$1.49 · fair‑value band HK$0.0245 – HK$0.0307 · the HK$0.0320 price screens above the HK$0.0276 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the dry bulk vessel chartering business in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through Chartering of Vessels, and Property Investment and Development segments. The company owns one vessel with carrying capacity of 74,973 deadweight tonnage. It also provides marine transportation and agency services, as well as involved in property investment and development activities. The company was formerly known as Great Harvest Maeta Group Holdings Limited and changed its name to Great Harvest Maeta Holdings Limited in September 2021. Great Harvest Maeta Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683) currently trades at HK$0.0320, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0276, 13.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0245 (bear) to HK$0.0307 (bull), the price of HK$0.0320 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings reported revenue of $3.8M in FY2026 versus $21.6M in FY2022, a compound −35.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.0M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$30.5M (≈ $3.9M) · P/S ratio 11.0 · Net margin −128% · Return on equity −51.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −28.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$4.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) −80.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 59% fair-value upside, at −14%, 3683 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0245 Fair Value HK$0.0276 Bull HK$0.0307

Price HK$0.0320 · Upside -13.8%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 52

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 0

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 57

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 38

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 1

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 67

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 35

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 2

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 2

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−73.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−40.8%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−21.2%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.4% a year

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−11.6%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−9.5% (2021) → −50.7% (2026)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

3683 screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 229 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −13.8% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −128.1% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −28.2% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −80.4% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 16.53× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.18× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 0.82× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 17.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)15 · sector 37

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 56

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919	¥16.37	¥40.37	+147%	vs 3683
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615	115.50 TWD	191.50 TWD	+66%	vs 3683
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018	¥3.40	¥5.58	+64%	vs 3683
Qingdao Port International Co 601298	¥9.75	¥15.59	+60%	vs 3683
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316	HK$145.10	HK$230.39	+59%	vs 3683
HMM Co 011200	21,500 KRW	33,795 KRW	+57%	vs 3683
SITC International Holdings 1308	HK$48.54	HK$64.78	+33%	vs 3683
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018	¥5.36	¥6.41	+20%	vs 3683
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG	€141.20	€88.00	−38%	vs 3683
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS	₹1,708	₹1,041	−39%	vs 3683

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Great Harvest Maeta Holdings · Fair Value
HK$0.0276 −14%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3683" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Great Harvest Maeta Holdings · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.0276</b> <span style="color:var(--red);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−14%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Harvest Maeta Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3683

Frequently asked questions

Is Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0276 versus a price of HK$0.0320, about −14% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 3683?

Our model-based fair value for Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is HK$0.0276 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0320.

What is the quality score of 3683?

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0276 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0245, optimistic scenario HK$0.0307. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Great Harvest Maeta Holdings stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.0276, about −14% upside versus a price of HK$0.0320 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0245, optimistic scenario HK$0.0307. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Harvest Maeta Holdings it is HK$0.0276 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0320. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Great Harvest Maeta Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 3683 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0320, fair value HK$0.0276, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 3683?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0320); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0276). For Great Harvest Maeta Holdings the two are HK$0.0044 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Great Harvest Maeta Holdings worth?

The market values Great Harvest Maeta Holdings at about HK$30.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0320; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0276 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3683?

Our models span a range for Great Harvest Maeta Holdings: cautious scenario HK$0.0245, base HK$0.0276, optimistic HK$0.0307 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0320). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

Balance-sheet figures for Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −51.9%, debt of 16.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 3683 from its 52-week high?

Great Harvest Maeta Holdings trades at HK$0.0320, about 66% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0940 and 7% above the low of HK$0.0300 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0276 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Great Harvest Maeta Holdings?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Great Harvest Maeta Holdings stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0320, calculated fair value HK$0.0276 (−14%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 3683 calculated?

We run Great Harvest Maeta Holdings through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0276, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Great Harvest Maeta Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was HK$0.0320. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0276, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Great Harvest Maeta Holdings right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0307). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The market capitalisation of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is HK$30.5M (≈ $3.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is 11.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the net margin of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The net margin of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is −128% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is −51.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

The operating margin of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is −28.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683)?

Revenue at Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is growing −80.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −40.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much free cash flow does Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683) generate?

The free cash flow of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is −HK$42.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Great Harvest Maeta Holdings (3683) carry?

The net debt of Great Harvest Maeta Holdings is HK$59.4M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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