3881 (3881) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$8.9B

3 3881 3881 · HK

PriceHK$20.34

Fair ValueHK$2.04

Upside-90.0%

Quality30/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$1.35 – HK$2.55

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −9.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (6 months)

6‑month range HK$17.19 – HK$33.92 · fair‑value band HK$1.35 – HK$2.55 · the HK$20.34 price screens above the HK$2.04 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3881 (3881) currently trades at HK$20.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.04 — implying the stock looks roughly 90.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$885M. Revenue grew 214.5% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$885M

Revenue growth (YoY) +215%

Net margin -115%

Return on equity -334%

Free cash flow −HK$322M FY2025

Operating margin -109%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-27.92

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3881 reported revenue of HK$885M in FY2025 versus HK$31.1M in FY2022, a compound +205.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.0B in FY2025.

Revenue +205.4%/yr

FY22 HK$31.1M

FY23 HK$133M

FY24 HK$410M

FY25 HK$885M

Net income

FY22 −HK$263M

FY23 −HK$255M

FY24 −HK$581M

FY25 −HK$1.0B

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3881 (3881) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.04 versus a price of HK$20.34 — about −90% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3881?

Our model-based fair value for 3881 is HK$2.04 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$20.34.

What is the quality score of 3881?

3881 has a Quality Score of 30/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3881 (3881)?

3881 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$885M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3881?

The net profit margin of 3881 is about -115.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.