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3918 (3918) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$15.6B

3 3918 3918 · HK
PriceHK$3.52
Fair ValueHK$1.54
Upside-56.3%
Quality60/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$1.09 – HK$1.93

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −13.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$6.55 HK$3.40 Fair Value HK$1.54 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$3.40 – HK$6.55 · fair‑value band HK$1.09 – HK$1.93 · the HK$3.52 price screens above the HK$1.54 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3918 (3918) currently trades at HK$3.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 56.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 3918 generated revenue of HK$666M at a net margin of 46.5%. Revenue grew 36.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$188M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$666M
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.6%
Net margin 46.5%
Return on equity 13.6%
Free cash flow HK$303M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.4
More key figures
Operating margin 44.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.7%
Net cash HK$188M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3918 reported revenue of HK$711M in FY2025 versus HK$226M in FY2021, a compound +33.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$310M in FY2025.

Revenue +33.2%/yr
FY21 HK$226M
FY22 HK$436M
FY23 HK$502M
FY24 HK$528M
FY25 HK$711M
Net income
FY21 −HK$147M
FY22 HK$107M
FY23 HK$178M
FY24 HK$110M
FY25 HK$310M

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6 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Galaxy Entertainment Group GXYEF $3.85 $6.82 +77%
0027 0027 HK$29.42 HK$41.44 +41%
Sands China Ltd SCHYF $1.70 $2.18 +28%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $47.51 $19.19 -60%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $104.48 $5.26 -95%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3918 (3918) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.54 versus a price of HK$3.52 — about −56% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 3918?
Our model-based fair value for 3918 is HK$1.54 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.52.
What is the quality score of 3918?
3918 has a Quality Score of 60/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 3918 (3918)?
3918 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$666M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3918?
The net profit margin of 3918 is about 46.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 46.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 3918 pay a dividend?
3918 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.