3983 (3983) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$9.2B

3 3983 3983 · HK

PriceHK$1.99

Fair ValueHK$3.65

Upside+83.4%

Quality55/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$2.44 – HK$5.02

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$1.89 – HK$3.27 · fair‑value band HK$2.44 – HK$5.02 · the HK$1.99 price screens below the HK$3.65 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3983 (3983) currently trades at HK$1.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3983 generated revenue of HK$12.0B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at HK$1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$12.0B

Revenue growth (YoY) +4.1%

Net margin 8.1%

Return on equity 5.7%

Free cash flow HK$966M FY2025

P/E ratio 8.3

More key figures

Operating margin 3.2%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.1400

Dividend yield 5.6%

EPS growth (YoY) -13.2%

Net debt HK$1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3983 reported revenue of HK$12.0B in FY2025 versus HK$13.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$974M in FY2025, compounding −10.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −2.6%/yr

FY21 HK$13.4B

FY22 HK$14.3B

FY23 HK$13.0B

FY24 HK$11.9B

FY25 HK$12.0B

Net income −10.2%/yr

FY21 HK$1.5B

FY22 HK$1.6B

FY23 HK$2.4B

FY24 HK$1.1B

FY25 HK$974M

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3983 (3983) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.65 versus a price of HK$1.99 — about +83% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3983?

Our model-based fair value for 3983 is HK$3.65 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.99.

What is the quality score of 3983?

3983 has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3983 (3983)?

3983 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$12.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3983?

The net profit margin of 3983 is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3983 pay a dividend?

3983 currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.