China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China BlueChemical Ltd. HK$3.09, price HK$1.89, upside +63.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
- Add to watchlist
China BlueChemical Ltd.
3983 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.08 – HK$3.27 · fair‑value band HK$2.21 – HK$4.14 · the HK$1.89 price screens below the HK$3.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Every Wednesday you see whether China BlueChemical is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Company profile
China BlueChemical Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of natural gas and the development, production, and sale of chemical fertilizers and chemical products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Urea, Methanol, Phosphorus and Compound Fertiliser, Acrylonitrile, and Others segments.
Show more
China BlueChemical Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of natural gas and the development, production, and sale of chemical fertilizers and chemical products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Urea, Methanol, Phosphorus and Compound Fertiliser, Acrylonitrile, and Others segments. It offers urea; methanol; phosphorus fertilizers, including mono-ammonium phosphate and di-ammonium phosphate; compound fertilizers; and acrylonitrile and related products. The company also manufactures and sells chemical fertilizers, and woven plastic bags. In addition, it is involved in port operations; provision of transportation services and overseas shipping services; and trading of fertilizers, chemicals, and coal and coal products, as well as mining of coal. Further, the company engages in mining and processing phosphorus; manufacturing and sales of phosphorus ore and chemical products; manufacture and sale of methanol; Manufacturing and sales of high-value fluorochemicals; woven plastic bags are made of plastic resins; and manufacturing and sale methyl methacrylate. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. China BlueChemical Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation.
Stock analysis
China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) currently trades at HK$1.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.09, implying the stock looks roughly 39.0% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$3.62 per share, and 20 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$1.89 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.23, and 5 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$2.21 (bear) to HK$4.14 (bull), the price of HK$1.89 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China BlueChemical Ltd. reported revenue of 12.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 974M CNY in FY2025, compounding −10.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$8.7B (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2474 · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 64%, 3983 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
Notify me when 3983 reaches fair value
Put 3983 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch 3983, get fair value alerts →
Compare China BlueChemical Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 178 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $78.52 | $28.63 | −64% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | $71.18 | $83.09 | +17% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥23.70 | ¥26.81 | +13% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $115.51 | $163.44 | +41% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 123.60 SAR | 150.65 SAR | +22% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 433.10 | kr 662.97 | +53% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥27.56 | ¥50.49 | +83% |
| The Mosaic Company MOS | $22.42 | $25.77 | +15% |
| ICL Group ICL | $5.14 | $2.98 | −42% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹1,964 | ₹1,129 | −43% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 3983?
What is the quality score of 3983?
What is the price target for China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the China BlueChemical Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
Does China BlueChemical Ltd. pay a dividend?
What growth is priced into China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3983 use?
What is a reverse DCF?
How much growth has China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) delivered so far?
How fast is the sector of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) growing?
What is the free cash flow yield of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the intrinsic value of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
Is China BlueChemical Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3983?
How much is China BlueChemical Ltd. worth?
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3983?
What is the P/E ratio of 3983?
What is the PEG ratio of 3983?
How solid is the balance sheet of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
How far is 3983 from its 52-week high?
Which stocks are comparable to China BlueChemical Ltd.?
Is China BlueChemical Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
How is the fair value of 3983 calculated?
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
What is the share price of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What should I pay attention to with China BlueChemical Ltd. right now?
Where does the earnings growth of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) come from?
Key figures of China BlueChemical Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the P/S ratio of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What are the earnings per share of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the dividend yield of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the net margin of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the return on equity of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the EBIT return on assets of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
What is the operating margin of China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
How fast is revenue growing at China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
How fast are earnings growing at China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983)?
How much net debt does China BlueChemical Ltd. (3983) carry?
Watch China BlueChemical Ltd. in the live analysis
One click puts China BlueChemical Ltd. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.