3990 (3990) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Market cap HK$3.9B

3 3990 3990 · HK

PriceHK$2.69

Fair ValueHK$6.73

Upside+150.2%

Quality55/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$4.84 – HK$8.61

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.69 – HK$4.88 · fair‑value band HK$4.84 – HK$8.61 · the HK$2.69 price screens below the HK$6.73 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3990 (3990) currently trades at HK$2.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.73 — implying the stock looks roughly 150.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3990 generated revenue of HK$4.1B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue declined 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$862M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$4.1B

Revenue growth (YoY) -6.9%

Net margin 13.5%

Return on equity 11.4%

Free cash flow HK$947M FY2025

P/E ratio 6.0

More key figures

Operating margin 21.2%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.2100

Dividend yield 11.4%

EPS growth (YoY) -20.1%

Net cash HK$862M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3990 reported revenue of HK$4.1B in FY2025 versus HK$73.7B in FY2021, a compound −51.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$559M in FY2025, compounding −37.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −51.3%/yr

FY21 HK$73.7B

FY22 HK$73.6B

FY23 HK$73.6B

FY24 HK$3.7B

FY25 HK$4.1B

Net income −37.8%/yr

FY21 HK$3.7B

FY22 HK$1.7B

FY23 HK$914M

FY24 −HK$2.1B

FY25 HK$559M

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Similar stocks

6 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM	155,400 VND	148,549 VND	-4%
DLF Limited DLF	₹627.60	₹215.17	-66%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI	6,150 IDR	1,330 IDR	-78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA	₹926.65	₹774.29	-16%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY	₹1,592	₹1,400	-12%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP	₹1,799	₹1,034	-43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3990 (3990) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.73 versus a price of HK$2.69 — about +150% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3990?

Our model-based fair value for 3990 is HK$6.73 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.69.

What is the quality score of 3990?

3990 has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3990 (3990)?

3990 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3990?

The net profit margin of 3990 is about 13.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3990 pay a dividend?

3990 currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.38% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.