EN DE

Saudi Marke (4006) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 562M SAR (≈ $150M) · ISIN SA13HG51UJ13

What is Saudi Marke really worth?

SM Saudi Marke 4006 · SR
Price12.06 SAR
Fair Value12.06 SAR
Upside+0.0%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of 12.06 SAR.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Saudi Marke is 12.06 SAR per share against a price of 12.06 SAR, so the fair value sits 0% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Watch Saudi Marke for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100
Evidence: High Range 9.05 SAR – 15.08 SAR

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

40.50 SAR 12.00 SAR Fair Value 12.06 SAR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.00 SAR – 40.50 SAR · fair‑value band 9.05 SAR – 15.08 SAR · the 12.06 SAR price screens below the 12.06 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Saudi Marke (4006) currently trades at 12.06 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.06 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 15.15 SAR per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the 12.06 SAR price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.31 SAR, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Marke generated revenue of 1.8B SAR at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 646M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.05 SAR (bear case) to 15.08 SAR (bull case); at 12.06 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 0%, 4006 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.3820 SAR per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 5.65 SAR 7.48 SAR 10.73 SAR 81
Growth DCF 5.84 SAR 7.58 SAR 10.43 SAR 79
Owner Earnings 11.64 SAR 15.15 SAR 21.40 SAR 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 5.65 SAR 7.48 SAR 10.73 SAR 81
Owner Earnings 11.64 SAR 15.15 SAR 21.40 SAR 77
5Y Revenue Exit 15.19 SAR 24.73 SAR 38.89 SAR 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 28.05 SAR 46.70 SAR 71.81 SAR 74
5Y P/E Exit 6.38 SAR 9.67 SAR 13.68 SAR 71
10Y Revenue Exit 10.36 SAR 17.10 SAR 24.76 SAR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 18.11 SAR 29.96 SAR 43.37 SAR 68
10Y P/E Exit 6.01 SAR 8.28 SAR 10.52 SAR 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.73 SAR 5.42 SAR 6.38 SAR 67
EPV 18.21 SAR 20.81 SAR 22.97 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.88 SAR 4.31 SAR 4.83 SAR 69
DDM Multi-Stage 3.88 SAR 4.78 SAR 5.83 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 9.05 SAR 12.06 SAR 15.08 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 6.99 SAR 9.32 SAR 11.65 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 6.99 SAR 9.32 SAR 11.65 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 36.76 SAR 49.29 SAR 61.83 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 52.73 SAR 70.58 SAR 88.44 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 24.50 SAR 35.37 SAR 46.23 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.90 SAR 10.58 SAR 15.80 SAR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 5.84 SAR 7.58 SAR 10.43 SAR 79
Rev-Margin DCF 15.19 SAR 24.90 SAR 36.75 SAR 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11.04 SAR 10.79 SAR 8.91 SAR 76
ROIC Compounder 18.27 SAR 21.26 SAR 24.31 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.38 SAR 9.11 SAR 11.84 SAR 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (15.15 SAR) versus Dividend Discount (4.31 SAR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

Notify me when 4006 reaches fair value

Put 4006 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.5
P/S ratio 0.30 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.5600 SAR price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.5
Dividend yield 4.0% payout 86.3%
Net margin 1.4% FY2025
Return on equity 3.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.8B SAR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −5.8% 3y avg −0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 35.4M SAR FY2025
Net debt 646M SAR FY2025 · ≈ 18.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Saudi Marketing Company engages in the retail, trading, and importing business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through three segments: Retail, Entertainment Services, and Household. The company is involved in wholesale and retail of foodstuff, household consumables, toys, textiles, and stationery products.

Full company description

Saudi Marketing Company engages in the retail, trading, and importing business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through three segments: Retail, Entertainment Services, and Household. The company is involved in wholesale and retail of foodstuff, household consumables, toys, textiles, and stationery products. It offers marketing services; operates and manages bakeries, restaurants, and coffee shops; provides food items and cold and hot beverages; and establishes, operates, and maintains amusement centers. The company operates under the Farm Superstores name. Saudi Marketing Company was founded in 1978 and is based in Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saudi Marke reported revenue of 1.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 24.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B SAR
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.6% · in SAR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+3.6%
Dividend yield4.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 3.6% vs 10Y −13.4%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.0% (2020) → 7.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop96% (2018) · in SAR
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 1.7B SAR
FY22 1.8B SAR
FY23 1.8B SAR
FY24 1.8B SAR
FY25 1.8B SAR
Net income +4.4%/yr
FY21 20.8M SAR
FY22 22.8M SAR
FY23 21.8M SAR
FY24 25.4M SAR
FY25 24.7M SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −15.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.4 %

of which total revenue +0.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −2.1 %
Tax rate −3.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 4006: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Saudi Marke · Fair Value
12.06 SAR +0%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Marke Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4006.SR

Peer Group

Department Stores · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE33 · sector 23
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST14 · sector 16
HEALTH96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND80 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $630.71 $536.21 −15%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR −56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Macy's, Inc M $21.93 $42.68 +95%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 −72%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 27.50 THB 20.89 THB −24%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 424,000 KRW 177,841 KRW −58%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 96,700 KRW 76,636 KRW −21%
PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY 940.00 IDR 968.76 IDR +3%

Compare Saudi Marke with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Saudi Marke (4006) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.06 SAR versus a price of 12.06 SAR, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4006?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Marke is 12.06 SAR (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.06 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4006?
Saudi Marke has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudi Marke (4006)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.06 SAR (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.05 SAR, optimistic scenario 15.08 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudi Marke stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.06 SAR, about +0% upside versus a price of 12.06 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 9.05 SAR, optimistic scenario 15.08 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Saudi Marke (4006)?
Saudi Marke reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4006?
The net profit margin of Saudi Marke is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Saudi Marke pay a dividend?
Saudi Marke currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
Free · no account needed

Watch Saudi Marke in the live analysis

One click puts Saudi Marke on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.