Saudi Real Estate Company (4020) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SA · Market cap 5.9B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.0% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (11.11 SAR to 23.54 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 12.32 SAR – 18.96 SAR · fair‑value band 11.11 SAR – 23.54 SAR · the 15.94 SAR price screens below the 17.32 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Real Estate Company (4020) currently trades at 15.94 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.32 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Real Estate Company generated revenue of 1.6B SAR at a net margin of 39.0%. Revenue declined 48.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 1.3B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11.11 SAR (bear case) to 23.54 SAR (bull case); at 15.94 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 9%, 4020 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Real Estate Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Rental sector, Property Sales Sector, Infrastructure Projects Sector, Construction Projects Sector, and Facility management sector segments.
Full company description
Saudi Real Estate Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development company in Saudi Arabia. It operates through Rental sector, Property Sales Sector, Infrastructure Projects Sector, Construction Projects Sector, and Facility management sector segments. The company engages in the acquiring, developing, leasing, and selling of buildable land, constructing residential, and commercial buildings; purchasing, producing, selling, and leasing materials and equipment; and provision of project management and real estate brokerage services. It is also involved in the construction of roads, bridges, tunnels, and construction, extension, cleaning, maintenance, and operation of water, sewerage, and stormwater networks, drainage networks; as well as creation and extension of electric power distribution networks and gas networks and stations.In addition, it engages in the purchase, sale, and lease of land and real estate; development and real estate investment activities; and construction of residential and non-residential buildings, shopping centers, hospitals, entertainment venues, and commercial spaces. Saudi Real Estate Company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Real Estate Company reported revenue of 1.9B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.0B SAR in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 296M SAR in FY2025, compounding +38.5%/yr from FY2021.
Is 4020 fairly valued? → Check now
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 219,800 VND | 33,299 VND | -85% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$38.90 | HK$17.91 | -54% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$20.40 | HK$18.75 | -8% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,830 CLP | 5,905 CLP | +54% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 147.00 | kr 108.52 | -26% |
| PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR | 43,850 IDR | 14,357 IDR | -67% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,420 CLP | 3,226 CLP | +33% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 330.00 IDR | 780.11 IDR | +136% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 22,025 IDR | 29,404 IDR | +34% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,590 IDR | 4,486 IDR | +25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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