Raku Co., Ltd (4154) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Raku Co., Ltd TWD 3.30, price TWD 11.85, upside -72.2%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.05 TWD – 89.80 TWD · fair‑value band 2.47 TWD – 4.92 TWD · the 11.85 TWD price screens above the 3.30 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Raku Co., Ltd manufacturing and trading of accessories in Malaysia, China, Taiwan, Thailand, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Kino Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Raku Co., Ltd in October 2021. Raku Co., Ltd was incorporated in 2000 and is based in West Bay, the Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
Raku Co., Ltd (4154) currently trades at 11.85 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.30 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 259.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 2.47 TWD (bear) to 4.92 TWD (bull), the price of 11.85 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Raku Co., Ltd reported revenue of 26.8M TWD in FY2025 versus 401M TWD in FY2021, a compound −49.2%/yr. Reported net income was −60.6M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 480M TWD (≈ $15.1M) · P/S ratio 18.7 · EPS (TTM) −1.33 TWD · Net margin −182% · Return on equity −21.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.7% · Operating margin −136% · Revenue (TTM) 25.6M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −72%, 4154 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2.47 TWDFair Value 3.30 TWDBull 4.92 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−60.7%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−25.1% (2021) → −237.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−182% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−136% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.59× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 50
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Raku Co., Ltd (4154) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.30 TWD versus a price of 11.85 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4154?
Our model-based fair value for Raku Co., Ltd is 3.30 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.85 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4154?
Raku Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.30 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.47 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.92 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Raku Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.30 TWD, about −72% upside versus a price of 11.85 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.47 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.92 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Raku Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.6M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Raku Co., Ltd it is 3.30 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 11.85 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Raku Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4154 trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.85 TWD, fair value 3.30 TWD, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4154?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.85 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.30 TWD). For Raku Co., Ltd the two are 8.55 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Raku Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Raku Co., Ltd at about 480M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 11.85 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 3.30 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4154?
Our models span a range for Raku Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 2.47 TWD, base 3.30 TWD, optimistic 4.92 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 11.85 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Balance-sheet figures for Raku Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −21.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4154 from its 52-week high?
Raku Co., Ltd trades at 11.85 TWD, about 34% below its 52-week high of 17.90 TWD and 18% above the low of 10.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.30 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Raku Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Raku Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 11.85 TWD, calculated fair value 3.30 TWD (−72%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4154 calculated?
We run Raku Co., Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.30 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Raku Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 11.85 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 3.30 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Raku Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.92 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.47 TWD to 4.92 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Raku Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The market capitalisation of Raku Co., Ltd is 480M TWD (≈ $15.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Raku Co., Ltd is 18.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Earnings per share at Raku Co., Ltd are −1.33 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The net margin of Raku Co., Ltd is −182% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Raku Co., Ltd is −21.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Raku Co., Ltd is −15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
The operating margin of Raku Co., Ltd is −136% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Raku Co., Ltd (4154)?
Revenue at Raku Co., Ltd is growing −17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −60.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Raku Co., Ltd (4154) generate?
The free cash flow of Raku Co., Ltd is −68.9M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Raku Co., Ltd (4154) carry?
The net debt of Raku Co., Ltd is 887K TWD (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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