Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company (4192) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 2.3B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.81 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (2.11 SAR to 3.81 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 6.08 SAR – 11.87 SAR · fair‑value band 2.11 SAR – 3.81 SAR · the 6.58 SAR price screens above the 2.86 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company (4192) currently trades at 6.58 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.86 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company generated revenue of 808M SAR at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at 340M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.11 SAR (bear case) to 3.81 SAR (bull case); at 6.58 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -57%, 4192 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.98 SAR) versus Asset-Based (0.9500 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company engages in the wholesale and retail sale of household utensils, electrical appliances, and cleaning supplies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company engages in the wholesale and retail sale of household utensils, electrical appliances, and cleaning supplies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It offers kitchen appliances; home appliances; large appliances; coffee makers; built in appliances; televisions and accessories; thermoses; tea and coffee maker; serve ware; food containers; cookware; home products; health & beauty products; kitchen spare parts; and furniture; dough mixers; refrigerators and freezers; electric pots; and air fryers. The company also engages in the general contracting; construction, repair, restoration, and demolition of buildings; public construction of road works, water and sewage works, dams, drilling wells; maintenance and operation of electrical, mechanical, and electronic installation; landscaping and blacksmithing, carpentry, aluminum, decoration, gypsum, maintenance, and cleaning works; management and operation of cities, utilities, buildings, and public and private facilities; and buying and owning real estate and lands to construct buildings. It also sells its products online. Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company was founded in 2014 in and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company reported revenue of 759M SAR in FY2025 versus 825M SAR in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 58.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −25.2%/yr from FY2021.
4192 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥58.97 | ¥54.14 | -8% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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