Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company (4200) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 11.5B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +0.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (53.78 SAR to 170.19 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 107.30 SAR – 150.61 SAR · fair‑value band 53.78 SAR – 170.19 SAR · the 114.90 SAR price screens above the 71.71 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company (4200) currently trades at 114.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 71.71 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company generated revenue of 27.9B SAR at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. Net debt stands at 4.1B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 53.78 SAR (bear case) to 170.19 SAR (bull case); at 114.90 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -38%, 4200 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company engages in the wholesale and retail of fuel, gasoline, and oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Petroleum Services and Transport Services segments. The company offers various services related to additives, car wash, tire servicing, alignment, accessories, food, mosque, ATMs, car rental, etc.
Full company description
Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company engages in the wholesale and retail of fuel, gasoline, and oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Petroleum Services and Transport Services segments. The company offers various services related to additives, car wash, tire servicing, alignment, accessories, food, mosque, ATMs, car rental, etc.; and operates fuel stations. It also provides transportation and logistics services for liquid and dry materials through trucks and trailers. In addition, the company is involved in wholesale and retail trade of cooked and uncooked catering services. The company was formerly known as Mohammed Saad Aldrees And Sons Company Ltd. and changed its name to Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company in December 2004. Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company reported revenue of 25.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 9.1B SAR in FY2021, a compound +29.7%/yr. Reported net income was 422M SAR in FY2025, compounding +24.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$82.26 | C$61.82 | -25% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $761.57 | $222.50 | -71% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $226.06 | $164.16 | -27% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $470.75 | $475.40 | +1% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $217.60 | $313.58 | +44% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $70.99 | $84.30 | +19% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥57.20 | ¥40.60 | -29% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.78 | $23.87 | -20% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $546.51 | $228.99 | -58% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $192.17 | $148.51 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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