Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock SAR 45.93, price SAR 18.01, upside +155.0%, quality 25 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?Yes
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 16.40 SAR – 980,857 SAR · fair‑value band 34.44 SAR – 57.40 SAR · the 18.01 SAR price screens below the 45.93 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Theeb Rent A Car Company engages in the provision of car rental and leasing services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Short Term Lease, Long Term Lease, and Car Sales segments. The company offers roadside assistance; and operates maintenance centers, as well as sells vehicles.
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It offers its services through 69 branches distributed over the regions of the Kingdom, international, and regional airports with a fleet of more than 43,000 vehicles. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) currently trades at 18.01 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.93 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 211.78 SAR per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the 18.01 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.29 SAR, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 34.44 SAR (bear) to 57.40 SAR (bull), the price of 18.01 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC reported revenue of 1.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 752M SAR in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was 180M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2B SAR (≈ $310M) Small · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) 2.09 SAR · Dividend yield 6.8% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 155%, 4261 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear34.44 SARFair Value 45.93 SARBull57.40 SAR
Price 18.01 SAR · Upside +155.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7223 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income14.64 SAR18.64 SAR27.07 SAR75
EPV14.44 SAR18.11 SAR21.12 SAR74
Owner Earnings112.85 SAR211.78 SAR370.67 SAR73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings112.85 SAR211.78 SAR370.67 SAR73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd18.58 SAR104.41 SAR145.03 SAR63
Lynch FV29.24 SAR41.78 SAR54.31 SAR61
PEG = 1.029.24 SAR41.78 SAR54.31 SAR57
EPV14.44 SAR18.11 SAR21.12 SAR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM10.70 SAR18.51 SAR24.64 SAR68
DDM Multi-Stage10.70 SAR17.28 SAR19.86 SAR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple43.03 SAR57.38 SAR71.72 SAR63
P/S Multiple34.04 SAR45.39 SAR56.73 SAR58
P/B Multiple46.79 SAR62.38 SAR77.98 SAR55
EV/EBIT25.37 SAR43.45 SAR61.52 SAR64
EV/EBITDA73.92 SAR108.18 SAR142.44 SAR67
EV/Revenuen/a12.00 SAR24.25 SAR50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)6.93 SAR9.29 SAR13.86 SAR54
Economic Profit
Residual Income14.64 SAR18.64 SAR27.07 SAR75
ROIC Compounder14.75 SAR22.54 SAR30.79 SAR71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E43.79 SAR62.56 SAR81.32 SAR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 0.7% / −80.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 19%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 90.7%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 2.70 per share, median 44390000 in 2016 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 89 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4261
Frequently asked questions
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.93 SAR versus a price of 18.01 SAR, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4261?
Our model-based fair value for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 45.93 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.01 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4261?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 45.93 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.44 SAR, optimistic scenario 57.40 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 45.93 SAR, about +155% upside versus a price of 18.01 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 34.44 SAR, optimistic scenario 57.40 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC pay a dividend?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC currently shows a dividend yield of 6.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC it is 45.93 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 18.01 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 4261 trades below its calculated fair value: price 18.01 SAR, fair value 45.93 SAR, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4261?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.01 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (45.93 SAR). For Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC the two are 27.92 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC worth?
The market values Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC at about 1.2B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 18.01 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 45.93 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4261?
Our models span a range for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC: cautious scenario 34.44 SAR, base 45.93 SAR, optimistic 57.40 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 18.01 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4261?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 45.93 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Balance-sheet figures for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 15.1%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4261 from its 52-week high?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC trades at 18.01 SAR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 42.80 SAR and 10% above the low of 16.40 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 45.93 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 18.01 SAR, calculated fair value 45.93 SAR (+155%), Quality Score 25/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4261 calculated?
We run Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 45.93 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 18.01 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 45.93 SAR, about +155% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (34.44 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The market capitalisation of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 1.2B SAR (≈ $310M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 0.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Earnings per share at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC are 2.09 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The dividend yield of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 6.8% (payout 58.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The net margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 8.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The operating margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Revenue at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Earnings per share at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC are growing −65.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) generate?
The free cash flow of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is −311M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) carry?
The net debt of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 1.9B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 27, 2026