Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 20.20 SAR – 980,857 SAR · fair‑value band 29.61 SAR – 52.29 SAR · the 20.50 SAR price screens below the 39.47 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Theeb Rent A Car Company engages in the provision of car rental and leasing services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Short Term Lease, Long Term Lease, and Car Sales segments. The company offers roadside assistance; and operates maintenance centers, as well as sells vehicles.
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Theeb Rent A Car Company engages in the provision of car rental and leasing services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Short Term Lease, Long Term Lease, and Car Sales segments. The company offers roadside assistance; and operates maintenance centers, as well as sells vehicles. It offers its services through 69 branches distributed over the regions of the Kingdom, international, and regional airports with a fleet of more than 43,000 vehicles. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) currently trades at 20.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.47 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 170.70 SAR per share, and 12 of the 17 models we run sit above the 20.50 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.29 SAR, and 5 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 29.61 SAR (bear) to 52.29 SAR (bull), the price of 20.50 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC reported revenue of 1.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 752M SAR in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was 180M SAR in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B SAR (≈ $388M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) 2.62 SAR · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 93%, 4261 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 29.61 SARFair Value 39.47 SARBull 52.29 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.7302 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs −81%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 19%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 90.7%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 93 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4261
Frequently asked questions
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.47 SAR versus a price of 20.50 SAR, about +93% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4261?
Our model-based fair value for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 39.47 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4261?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 39.47 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 29.61 SAR, optimistic scenario 52.29 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 39.47 SAR, about +93% upside versus a price of 20.50 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 29.61 SAR, optimistic scenario 52.29 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC pay a dividend?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC it is 39.47 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 20.50 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4261 trades below its calculated fair value: price 20.50 SAR, fair value 39.47 SAR, a gap of about +93% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4261?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.50 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (39.47 SAR). For Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC the two are 18.97 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC worth?
The market values Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC at about 1.5B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 20.50 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 39.47 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4261?
Our models span a range for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC: cautious scenario 29.61 SAR, base 39.47 SAR, optimistic 52.29 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 20.50 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4261?
Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 39.47 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Balance-sheet figures for Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 19.0%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 20.50 SAR, calculated fair value 39.47 SAR (+93%), Quality Score 26/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4261 calculated?
We run Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 39.47 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC currently trades 93 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (29.61 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The market capitalisation of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 1.5B SAR (≈ $388M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 0.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Earnings per share at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC are 2.62 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The dividend yield of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 7.7% (payout 60.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The net margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
The operating margin of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Revenue at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is growing +21.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261)?
Earnings per share at Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC are growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) generate?
The free cash flow of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is −311M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC (4261) carry?
The net debt of Theeb Rent a Car Company SJSC is 1.9B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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