Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Element Fleet Management Corp C$21.30, price C$22.66, upside -6.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$10.13 – C$37.59 · fair‑value band C$12.10 – C$26.62 · the C$22.66 price screens above the C$21.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers end-to-end fleet solutions, including cars, trucks, and material handling support equipment ordering support.
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Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers end-to-end fleet solutions, including cars, trucks, and material handling support equipment ordering support. It also provides fleet management solutions, such as vehicle acquisition, maintenance, risk management, route optimization, electric vehicle integration, and remarketing services. In addition, it manages the rental process for extra equipment or other assets, ranging from forklifts to storage trailers, and coordinates delivery and pickup. Further, the company offers other services, including fleet vehicle remarketing, an advance purchase program, Element Energy Solutions, and fleet financing services, which comprise operating and capital leases, sale and leaseback funding, open-end terminal rental adjustment clause (TRAC) leases, and a client-owned acquisition program. Additionally, it provides title, licensing, and registration services; end-to-end telematics services; driver training programs and other safety services; and insurance coverage solutions, including subrogation, driver safety programs, and telematics, as well as accident management services, including vehicle repair for cars, light-duty vehicles, and medium-duty trucks. It is involved in tolls and violations processing, regulation compliance, fuel services, managed maintenance, and personal usage and expense tracking. The company provides Autofleet, a suite of software solutions for transportation services for fleets and mobility operators. Element Fleet Management Corp. is based in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) currently trades at C$22.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$21.30, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$82.67 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$22.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$4.59, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$12.10 (bear) to C$26.62 (bull), the price of C$22.66 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Element Fleet Management Corp reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was $284M in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$8.9B (≈ $6.3B) · P/E ratio 21.8 · P/S ratio 2.74 · EPS (TTM) C$1.04 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −6%, EFN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$12.10Fair Value C$21.30Bull C$26.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.3875 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.5% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.4% vs 5.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.68% → 43%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (78 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 91 stocks
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Is Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$21.30 versus a price of C$22.66, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of EFN?
Our model-based fair value for Element Fleet Management Corp is C$21.30 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$22.66.
What is the quality score of EFN?
Element Fleet Management Corp has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$21.30 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$12.10, optimistic scenario C$26.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Element Fleet Management Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$21.30, about −6% upside versus a price of C$22.66 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$12.10, optimistic scenario C$26.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Element Fleet Management Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Element Fleet Management Corp pay a dividend?
Element Fleet Management Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Element Fleet Management Corp it is C$21.30 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$22.66. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Element Fleet Management Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, EFN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$22.66, fair value C$21.30, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$22.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$21.30). For Element Fleet Management Corp the two are C$1.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Element Fleet Management Corp worth?
The market values Element Fleet Management Corp at about C$8.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$22.66; our models calculate a fair value of C$21.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EFN?
Our models span a range for Element Fleet Management Corp: cautious scenario C$12.10, base C$21.30, optimistic C$26.62 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$22.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EFN?
Element Fleet Management Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$21.30 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 2.3, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 12.9.
What is the PEG ratio of EFN?
The PEG ratio of Element Fleet Management Corp is 1.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Element Fleet Management Corp (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 3.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EFN from its 52-week high?
Element Fleet Management Corp trades at C$22.66, about 40% below its 52-week high of C$37.59 and at the low of C$22.66 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$21.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Element Fleet Management Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Element Fleet Management Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$22.66, calculated fair value C$21.30 (−6%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EFN calculated?
We run Element Fleet Management Corp through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$21.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Element Fleet Management Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$22.66. Our model-based fair value is C$21.30, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Element Fleet Management Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (C$12.10 to C$26.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Element Fleet Management Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The market capitalisation of Element Fleet Management Corp is C$8.9B (≈ $6.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Element Fleet Management Corp is 2.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Earnings per share at Element Fleet Management Corp are C$1.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The dividend yield of Element Fleet Management Corp is 2.3% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The net margin of Element Fleet Management Corp is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Element Fleet Management Corp is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Element Fleet Management Corp is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
The operating margin of Element Fleet Management Corp is 46.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Revenue at Element Fleet Management Corp is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN)?
Earnings per share at Element Fleet Management Corp are growing +0.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) generate?
The free cash flow of Element Fleet Management Corp is −$222M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) carry?
The net debt of Element Fleet Management Corp is $9.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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