Knowledge Economic City (4310) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Knowledge Economic City stock SAR 5.82, price SAR 19.80, upside -70.6%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.52 SAR – 22.77 SAR · fair‑value band 4.35 SAR – 8.69 SAR · the 19.80 SAR price screens above the 5.82 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Follow Knowledge Economic City in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Knowledge Economic City is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Knowledge Economic City Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of real estate, economic cities, and other development projects in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Real Estate Development and Investment segments.
Show moreShow less
It undertakes infrastructure, telecommunication networks, electricity plants, and water treatment plants, as well as other works related to developing economic cities. The company also owns the land parcel; and is involved in investing activities.
Knowledge Economic City Company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Al Madinah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Knowledge Economic City (4310) currently trades at 19.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.82 SAR, 70.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 4.35 SAR (bear) to 8.69 SAR (bull), the price of 19.80 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Knowledge Economic City reported revenue of 319M SAR in FY2025 versus 42.5M SAR in FY2021, a compound +65.6%/yr. Reported net income was −34.9M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.9B SAR (≈ $1.8B) Small · P/S ratio 20.6 · EPS (TTM) −0.0300 SAR · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity −0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −46.3% · Revenue (TTM) 292M SAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −71%, 4310 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear4.35 SARFair Value 5.82 SARBull8.69 SAR
Price 19.80 SAR · Upside -70.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+100.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+77.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +24.5% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−10.4% (2020) → −7.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Knowledge Economic City with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−70.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−46.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−51.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.72× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.34× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)23.65× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 68
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)64· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Knowledge Economic City Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4310
Frequently asked questions
Is Knowledge Economic City (4310) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.82 SAR versus a price of 19.80 SAR, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4310?
Our model-based fair value for Knowledge Economic City is 5.82 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.80 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4310?
Knowledge Economic City has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.82 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.35 SAR, optimistic scenario 8.69 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Knowledge Economic City stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.82 SAR, about −71% upside versus a price of 19.80 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.35 SAR, optimistic scenario 8.69 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Knowledge Economic City reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 292M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Knowledge Economic City it is 5.82 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 19.80 SAR. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Knowledge Economic City stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 4310 trades above its calculated fair value: price 19.80 SAR, fair value 5.82 SAR, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4310?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.80 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.82 SAR). For Knowledge Economic City the two are 13.98 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Knowledge Economic City worth?
The market values Knowledge Economic City at about 6.9B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 19.80 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 5.82 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4310?
Our models span a range for Knowledge Economic City: cautious scenario 4.35 SAR, base 5.82 SAR, optimistic 8.69 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 19.80 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Balance-sheet figures for Knowledge Economic City (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −0.4%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4310 from its 52-week high?
Knowledge Economic City trades at 19.80 SAR, about 13% below its 52-week high of 22.77 SAR and 79% above the low of 11.09 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.82 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Knowledge Economic City?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Knowledge Economic City stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 19.80 SAR, calculated fair value 5.82 SAR (−71%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4310 calculated?
We run Knowledge Economic City through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.82 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Knowledge Economic City itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 19.80 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 5.82 SAR, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Knowledge Economic City right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.69 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (4.35 SAR to 8.69 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Knowledge Economic City
How large is the market capitalisation of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The market capitalisation of Knowledge Economic City is 6.9B SAR (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Knowledge Economic City is 20.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Earnings per share at Knowledge Economic City are −0.0300 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The net margin of Knowledge Economic City is −2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Knowledge Economic City is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Knowledge Economic City is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
The operating margin of Knowledge Economic City is −46.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Knowledge Economic City (4310)?
Revenue at Knowledge Economic City is growing −51.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +77.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Knowledge Economic City (4310) generate?
The free cash flow of Knowledge Economic City is −272M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Knowledge Economic City (4310) carry?
The net debt of Knowledge Economic City is 2.1B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Knowledge Economic City in the live analysis
One click puts Knowledge Economic City on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 27, 2026