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Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co (000029) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 25.6B CNY

SS Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 · SHE
Price¥22.14
Fair Value¥4.60
Upside-79.2%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.31 – ¥5.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥33.53 ¥5.90 Fair Value ¥4.60 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.90 – ¥33.53 · fair‑value band ¥3.31 – ¥5.88 · the ¥22.14 price screens above the ¥4.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co (000029) currently trades at ¥22.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.60, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 79.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 285M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.31 (bear case) to ¥5.88 (bull case); at ¥22.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -79%, 000029 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.90 ¥2.77 ¥2.27 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.0400 ¥0.0800 ¥0.1300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0400 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0800 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0400 ¥0.0800 ¥0.1300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0400 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0800 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥1.43 ¥1.91 ¥2.38 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.43 ¥1.91 ¥2.38 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.68 ¥7.49 ¥9.30 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.86 ¥6.40 ¥7.94 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.24 ¥4.53 ¥5.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.03 ¥2.71 ¥4.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.90 ¥2.77 ¥2.27 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.53) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -79.6%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 0.7%
Free cash flow −96.4M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 1,267.0
More key figures
Operating margin -10.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200
EPS growth (YoY) +719%
Net cash 285M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. develops and sells residential real estate properties in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. develops and sells residential real estate properties in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It also engages in the property leasing and management; sale of commercial housing units; retail and trade of commodities; hotel business; engineering construction; equipment installation and maintenance; construction; and interior decoration and other activities. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shenzhen Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥100.0M in FY2025, compounding −18.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+262.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+32.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +2.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥634M
FY23 ¥531M
FY24 ¥407M
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income −18.0%/yr
FY21 ¥221M
FY22 ¥154M
FY23 −¥251M
FY24 −¥177M
FY25 ¥100.0M

000029 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000029

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -80% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.12× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 0 · sector 33
PAST 3 · sector 17
HEALTH 99 · sector 75
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 129.20 CHF 44.83 -65%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 68.75 THB 71.37 THB +4%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,733 ₹645.21 -63%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹2,076 ₹701.74 -66%
Fastighets AB BALDB kr 50.42 kr 70.70 +40%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 16.39 SAR 11.62 SAR -29%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.89 ¥0.3300 -89%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,940 CLP 2,777 CLP -30%
Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA 59.57 MXN 53.94 MXN -9%
Catena AB CATE kr 409.60 kr 298.00 -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co (000029) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.60 versus a price of ¥22.14, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000029?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co is ¥4.60 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.14.
What is the quality score of 000029?
Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co (000029)?
Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000029?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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