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Data-driven stock valuation

SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit stock SAR 0.62, price SAR 3.85, upside -83.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?No
  2. Quality 50+?Yes
  3. In an uptrend?No
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Real Estate SA · ISIN SA14DG523OL4

SS SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit

4337 · SR

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 53/100
Fair value 0.6200 SAR · Strongly overvalued (−83.9%)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −17.1 %/yr in SAR)
Loss-making · -62.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 32/100
Thin data
Structural break

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

11.51 SAR 3.54 SAR Fair Value 0.6200 SAR Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.54 SAR – 11.51 SAR · fair‑value band 0.6200 SAR – 1.42 SAR · the 3.85 SAR price screens above the 0.6200 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

SICO Capital - SICO Saudi REIT Fund is a real estate investment fund. The fund invest in income-generating real-estate properties. The firm primarily invests in Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337) currently trades at 3.85 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6200 SAR, 83.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.6200 SAR (bear) to 1.42 SAR (bull), the price of 3.85 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit reported revenue of 21.0M SAR in FY2025 versus 15.1M SAR in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was −929K SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 220M SAR (≈ $58.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 9.41 · EPS (TTM) −0.2600 SAR · Net margin −62.9% · Return on equity −6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 44.3% · Revenue (TTM) 23.5M SAR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −84%, 4337 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.6200 SAR Fair Value 0.6200 SAR Bull 1.42 SAR
Price 3.85 SAR · Upside -83.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a 0.6200 SAR 1.42 SAR 59
NCAV (Graham) 2.11 SAR 2.83 SAR 4.23 SAR 51
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a 0.6200 SAR 1.42 SAR 59
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.11 SAR 2.83 SAR 4.23 SAR 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 88
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 22
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 17
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
374.2% (2020) → 5.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

4337 screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 151 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −62.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 44.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.91× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 9.36× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
VICI Properties Inc VICI $24.02 $60.05 +150% vs 4337
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.81 A$2.09 +15% vs 4337
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $63.51 $69.97 +10% vs 4337
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $17.36 $18.46 +6% vs 4337
COV COV €44.12 €39.78 −10% vs 4337
The GPT Group GPT A$4.78 A$3.49 −27% vs 4337
T82U T82U 1.39 SGD 0.9700 SGD −30% vs 4337
Goodman Group GMG A$26.68 A$16.58 −38% vs 4337
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.20 MYR 4.22 MYR −49% vs 4337
Charter Hall Group CHC A$19.80 A$3.26 −84% vs 4337

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4337

Frequently asked questions

Is SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6200 SAR versus a price of 3.85 SAR, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4337?
Our model-based fair value for SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 0.6200 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.85 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4337?
SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6200 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6200 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.42 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6200 SAR, about −84% upside versus a price of 3.85 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.6200 SAR, optimistic scenario 1.42 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.5M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit it is 0.6200 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 3.85 SAR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 4337 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3.85 SAR, fair value 0.6200 SAR, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4337?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.85 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6200 SAR). For SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit the two are 3.23 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit worth?
The market values SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit at about 220M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 3.85 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6200 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4337?
Our models span a range for SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit: cautious scenario 0.6200 SAR, base 0.6200 SAR, optimistic 1.42 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 3.85 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
Balance-sheet figures for SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −6.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4337 from its 52-week high?
SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit trades at 3.85 SAR, about 28% below its 52-week high of 5.37 SAR and 5% above the low of 3.68 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6200 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 3.85 SAR, calculated fair value 0.6200 SAR (−84%), Quality Score 53/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4337 calculated?
We run SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6200 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 3.85 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 0.6200 SAR, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.42 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.6200 SAR to 1.42 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit

How large is the market capitalisation of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The market capitalisation of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 220M SAR (≈ $58.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 9.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
Earnings per share at SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit are −0.2600 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The net margin of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is −62.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is −6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
The operating margin of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 44.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337)?
Revenue at SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is growing +24.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337) generate?
The free cash flow of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is −6.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit (4337) carry?
The net debt of SICO Saudi REIT Fund Unit is 148M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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