Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd TWD 1.77, price TWD 16.45, upside -89.2%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.79 TWD – 85.90 TWD · fair‑value band 1.17 TWD – 2.21 TWD · the 16.45 TWD price screens above the 1.77 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Falcon Machine Tools Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of grindering, lathes, milling, planing, drilling, sawing machines, and other machinery products in Taiwan, the United States, Mainland China, Europe, and internationally.
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Falcon Machine Tools Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of grindering, lathes, milling, planing, drilling, sawing machines, and other machinery products in Taiwan, the United States, Mainland China, Europe, and internationally. The company offers precision surface grinders, computer numerical control (CNC) surface grinders, vertical grinding centers, profiles grinder, CNC rotary surface grinder, double-sided fine grinder, double column grinding machines, surface and form grinders, vertical machining center, turret milling machine, vertical turning lathe, multi-function flat lathe, vertical lathe for non-circular piston contouring, and aluminium wheel production equipment. It also manufactures and sells computer peripherals, computer components, and electronic components. In addition, the company operates through real estate agency brokerage; manufactures, processes, and sells mechanical sheet metal and parts; rents and sells residential and building development; and investment industry business. It serves aerospace, semiconductor, automotive, mold manufacturing, automation, and other industries. Falcon Machine Tools Co., Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Changhua, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513) currently trades at 16.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.77 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 829.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 6.74 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 16.45 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.7000 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.17 TWD (bear) to 2.21 TWD (bull), the price of 16.45 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −204M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.4B TWD (≈ $75.3M) · P/S ratio 2.02 · EPS (TTM) −1.79 TWD · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −20.3% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −89%, 4513 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.17 TWDFair Value 1.77 TWDBull 2.21 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.3% (2020) → −14.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 802 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−11.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth75.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.11× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.06× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)44· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4513
Frequently asked questions
Is Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.77 TWD versus a price of 16.45 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4513?
Our model-based fair value for Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 1.77 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4513?
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.77 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 2.21 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.77 TWD, about −89% upside versus a price of 16.45 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 2.21 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd it is 1.77 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 16.45 TWD. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 4513 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.45 TWD, fair value 1.77 TWD, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4513?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.45 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.77 TWD). For Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd the two are 14.68 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd worth?
The market values Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd at about 2.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 16.45 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.77 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4513?
Our models span a range for Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd: cautious scenario 1.17 TWD, base 1.77 TWD, optimistic 2.21 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 16.45 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Balance-sheet figures for Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4513 from its 52-week high?
Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd trades at 16.45 TWD, about 28% below its 52-week high of 22.80 TWD and 18% above the low of 13.95 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.77 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 16.45 TWD, calculated fair value 1.77 TWD (−89%), Quality Score 19/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4513 calculated?
We run Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.77 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 16.45 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 1.77 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.21 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.17 TWD to 2.21 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The market capitalisation of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 2.4B TWD (≈ $75.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 2.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Earnings per share at Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd are −1.79 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The dividend yield of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The net margin of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is −20.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
The operating margin of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Revenue at Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is growing +75.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513)?
Earnings per share at Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd are growing −74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513) generate?
The free cash flow of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is −143M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd (4513) carry?
The net debt of Falcon Machine Tools Co Ltd is 1.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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