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LNC Technology Co (4587) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.4B TWD

LT LNC Technology Co 4587 · TWO
Price44.05 TWD
Fair Value4.72 TWD
Upside-89.3%
Quality40/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range 4.72 TWD – 7.04 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −11.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.04 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (8 months)

74.70 TWD 22.40 TWD Fair Value 4.72 TWD Dec 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

8‑month range 22.40 TWD – 74.70 TWD · fair‑value band 4.72 TWD – 7.04 TWD · the 44.05 TWD price screens above the 4.72 TWD fair value. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

LNC Technology Co (4587) currently trades at 44.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.72 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Net debt stands at 207M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.72 TWD (bear case) to 7.04 TWD (bull case); at 44.05 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -89%, 4587 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6.31 TWD 7.79 TWD 9.50 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6.13 TWD 8.49 TWD 10.97 TWD 74
Gordon GGM 7.77 TWD 10.96 TWD 13.90 TWD 70
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 6.21 TWD 7.81 TWD 9.74 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 6.13 TWD 8.41 TWD 11.17 TWD 39
10Y Revenue Exit 6.00 TWD 7.89 TWD 10.15 TWD 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.77 TWD 10.96 TWD 13.90 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.77 TWD 10.50 TWD 13.22 TWD 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue 6.44 TWD 8.69 TWD 10.94 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.52 TWD 4.72 TWD 7.04 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.31 TWD 7.79 TWD 9.50 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 6.13 TWD 8.49 TWD 10.97 TWD 74

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (10.50 TWD) versus Asset-Based (4.72 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow 19.0M TWD FY2025
EPS (TTM) -1.99 TWD
Net debt 207M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

LNC Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of various equipment control systems in Taiwan.

Full company description

LNC Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of various equipment control systems in Taiwan. It offers gantry and joint robot controllers, vision and AI systems, industry 4.0 systems, APAC, woodworking machine controllers, turning and milling machine controllers, injection molding and grinding machine controllers, laser processing controllers, WIL smart production lines, and peripherals. The company is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LNC Technology Co reported revenue of 908M TWD in FY2025 versus 970M TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −65.6M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
908M TWD
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 970M TWD
FY22 754M TWD
FY23 743M TWD
FY24 906M TWD
FY25 908M TWD
Net income
FY21 63.0M TWD
FY22 −70.9M TWD
FY23 −83.5M TWD
FY24 −44.3M TWD
FY25 −65.6M TWD

4587 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LNC Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4587

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 85 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

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GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LNC Technology Co (4587) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.72 TWD versus a price of 44.05 TWD, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4587?
Our model-based fair value for LNC Technology Co is 4.72 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4587?
LNC Technology Co has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 4587?
The net profit margin of LNC Technology Co is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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