LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of LNC Technology Co., Ltd TWD 10.31, price TWD 40.60, upside -74.6%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range 22.40 TWD – 74.70 TWD · fair‑value band 8.09 TWD – 12.90 TWD · the 40.60 TWD price screens above the 10.31 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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LNC Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of various equipment control systems in Taiwan.
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LNC Technology Co., Ltd engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of various equipment control systems in Taiwan. It offers gantry and joint robot controllers, vision and AI systems, industry 4.0 systems, APAC, woodworking machine controllers, turning and milling machine controllers, injection molding and grinding machine controllers, laser processing controllers, WIL smart production lines, and peripherals. The company is based in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) currently trades at 40.60 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.31 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 293.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 10.76 TWD per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 40.60 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.72 TWD, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 8.09 TWD (bear) to 12.90 TWD (bull), the price of 40.60 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
LNC Technology Co., Ltd reported revenue of 908M TWD in FY2025 versus 970M TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −65.6M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.3B TWD (≈ $42.1M) · EPS (TTM) −1.99 TWD · Net margin −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.6% · Free cash flow 19.0M TWD · Net debt 207M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −75%, 4587 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.09 TWDFair Value 10.31 TWDBull 12.90 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
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’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.2% (2020) → −11.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.0% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.18× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.2× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)85· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10.31 TWD versus a price of 40.60 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4587?
Our model-based fair value for LNC Technology Co., Ltd is 10.31 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 40.60 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4587?
LNC Technology Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 10.31 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.09 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.90 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LNC Technology Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 10.31 TWD, about −75% upside versus a price of 40.60 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.09 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.90 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LNC Technology Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +38.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4587 use?
Our models discount LNC Technology Co., Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LNC Technology Co., Ltd that is +38.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LNC Technology Co., Ltd grew +4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +38.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LNC Technology Co., Ltd (+38.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.42 %: that much free cash flow LNC Technology Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LNC Technology Co., Ltd it is 10.31 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 40.60 TWD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LNC Technology Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4587 trades above its calculated fair value: price 40.60 TWD, fair value 10.31 TWD, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4587?
No. The price is what the market pays today (40.60 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (10.31 TWD). For LNC Technology Co., Ltd the two are 30.29 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LNC Technology Co., Ltd worth?
The market values LNC Technology Co., Ltd at about 1.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 40.60 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 10.31 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4587?
Our models span a range for LNC Technology Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 8.09 TWD, base 10.31 TWD, optimistic 12.90 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 40.60 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
Balance-sheet figures for LNC Technology Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to LNC Technology Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LNC Technology Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 40.60 TWD, calculated fair value 10.31 TWD (−75%), Quality Score 40/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4587 calculated?
We run LNC Technology Co., Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 10.31 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. LNC Technology Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 40.60 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 10.31 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LNC Technology Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.90 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of LNC Technology Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
The market capitalisation of LNC Technology Co., Ltd is 1.3B TWD (≈ $42.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
Earnings per share at LNC Technology Co., Ltd are −1.99 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
The net margin of LNC Technology Co., Ltd is −7.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LNC Technology Co., Ltd is −6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does LNC Technology Co., Ltd (4587) carry?
The net debt of LNC Technology Co., Ltd is 207M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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