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Pond Group (472850) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 221B KRW

PG Pond Group 472850 · KQ
Price5,330 KRW
Fair Value11,215 KRW
Upside+110.4%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range 8,172 KRW – 14,018 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +44.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 110% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (8,172 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

7,069 KRW 2,435 KRW Fair Value 11,215 KRW Feb 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range 2,435 KRW – 7,069 KRW · fair‑value band 8,172 KRW – 14,018 KRW · the 5,330 KRW price screens below the 11,215 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Pond Group (472850) currently trades at 5,330 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,215 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 110.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Pond Group generated revenue of 496B KRW at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. Net debt stands at 81.9B KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8,172 KRW (bear case) to 14,018 KRW (bull case); at 5,330 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 110%, 472850 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 13,795 KRW 28,545 KRW 53,317 KRW 80
Residual Income 4,167 KRW 5,558 KRW 17,384 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 10,811 KRW 18,860 KRW 35,736 KRW 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 14,625 KRW 23,465 KRW 52,370 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 11,794 KRW 27,379 KRW 61,561 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 9,829 KRW 16,504 KRW 30,444 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12,491 KRW 21,887 KRW 40,313 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 11,609 KRW 25,008 KRW 43,150 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 11,038 KRW 23,205 KRW 30,678 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 13,361 KRW 29,071 KRW 56,304 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 12,703 KRW 27,127 KRW 50,572 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 4,078 KRW 28,440 KRW 39,911 KRW 54
Lynch FV 14,693 KRW 20,990 KRW 27,287 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 14,693 KRW 20,990 KRW 27,287 KRW 46
EPV 8,065 KRW 9,454 KRW 10,690 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 9,895 KRW 13,194 KRW 16,492 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 7,592 KRW 10,123 KRW 12,654 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 7,646 KRW 10,195 KRW 12,744 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 13,647 KRW 18,132 KRW 22,618 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 11,227 KRW 14,905 KRW 18,584 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 7,276 KRW 10,313 KRW 13,350 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,036 KRW 2,728 KRW 4,072 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13,795 KRW 28,545 KRW 53,317 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 10,811 KRW 18,860 KRW 35,736 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4,167 KRW 5,558 KRW 17,384 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 11,345 KRW 18,605 KRW 23,453 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 19,504 KRW 27,863 KRW 36,222 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (27,863 KRW) versus Asset-Based (2,728 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 496B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.7%
Net margin 7.5%
Return on equity 18.5%
Free cash flow 46.5B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 14.5%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.9%
Net debt 81.9B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pond Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture of sewn wearing apparels. It offers men, and women underwears. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pond Group reported revenue of 486B KRW in FY2025 versus 2.8B KRW in FY2023, a compound +1,221.3%/yr. Reported net income was 34.5B KRW in FY2025, compounding +1,104.6%/yr from FY2023.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
486B KRW
Latest YoY
+31.7%
Revenue +1,221.3%/yr
FY23 2.8B KRW
FY24 369B KRW
FY25 486B KRW
Net income +1,104.6%/yr
FY23 238M KRW
FY24 25.2B KRW
FY25 34.5B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pond Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/472850

Peer Group

Apparel Retail · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 49 · sector 20
PAST 74 · sector 37
HEALTH 90 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX 246.10 PLN 189.40 PLN -23%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $152.61 $84.95 -44%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$37.80 HK$15.21 -60%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $248.25 $118.41 -52%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $353.63 $143.65 -59%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,990 ₹709.49 -76%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $120.87 $299.63 +148%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$140.07 C$70.30 -50%
The Gap, Inc GAP $20.96 $36.44 +74%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $79.43 $92.88 +17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pond Group (472850) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,215 KRW versus a price of 5,330 KRW, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 472850?
Our model-based fair value for Pond Group is 11,215 KRW (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5,330 KRW.
What is the quality score of 472850?
Pond Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pond Group (472850)?
Pond Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 496B KRW (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 472850?
The net profit margin of Pond Group is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Pond Group pay a dividend?
Pond Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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