Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Pond Group Co., Ltd KRW 11,215, price KRW 4,925, upside +127.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Pond Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture of sewn wearing apparels. It offers men, and women underwears. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) currently trades at 4,925 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,215 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 56.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 27,863 KRW per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 4,925 KRW price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,728 KRW, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7,332 KRW (bear) to 16,703 KRW (bull), the price of 4,925 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Pond Group Co., Ltd reported revenue of 486B KRW in FY2025 versus 2.8B KRW in FY2023, a compound +1,221.3%/yr. Reported net income was 34.5B KRW in FY2025, compounding +1,104.6%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 284B KRW (≈ $209M) · P/S ratio 0.45 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 18.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin 14.5% · Revenue (TTM) 496B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 128%, 472850 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7,332 KRWFair Value 11,215 KRWBull 16,703 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+127.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)18.5% · Above median
Return on assets7.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pond Group Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/472850
Frequently asked questions
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,215 KRW versus a price of 4,925 KRW, about +128% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 472850?
Our model-based fair value for Pond Group Co., Ltd is 11,215 KRW (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,925 KRW.
What is the quality score of 472850?
Pond Group Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11,215 KRW (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7,332 KRW, optimistic scenario 16,703 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pond Group Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11,215 KRW, about +128% upside versus a price of 4,925 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 7,332 KRW, optimistic scenario 16,703 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Pond Group Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 496B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Pond Group Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Pond Group Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pond Group Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +1221.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 472850 use?
Our models discount Pond Group Co., Ltd at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.44, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pond Group Co., Ltd that is +2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Pond Group Co., Ltd grew +1221.3 % a year. The price currently implies +2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pond Group Co., Ltd (+2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.41 %: that much free cash flow Pond Group Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pond Group Co., Ltd it is 11,215 KRW per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 4,925 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 472850 trades below its calculated fair value: price 4,925 KRW, fair value 11,215 KRW, a gap of about +128% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 472850?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,925 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11,215 KRW). For Pond Group Co., Ltd the two are 6,290 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pond Group Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Pond Group Co., Ltd at about 284B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 4,925 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 11,215 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 472850?
Our models span a range for Pond Group Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 7,332 KRW, base 11,215 KRW, optimistic 16,703 KRW per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 4,925 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pond Group Co., Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 18.5%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 472850 from its 52-week high?
Pond Group Co., Ltd trades at 4,925 KRW, about 30% below its 52-week high of 7,069 KRW and 34% above the low of 3,680 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11,215 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pond Group Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 4,925 KRW, calculated fair value 11,215 KRW (+128%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 472850 calculated?
We run Pond Group Co., Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11,215 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Pond Group Co., Ltd currently trades 128 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 4,925 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 11,215 KRW, about +128% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pond Group Co., Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (7,332 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (7,332 KRW to 16,703 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Pond Group Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The market capitalisation of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 284B KRW (≈ $209M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The dividend yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The net margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 7.3% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The operating margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Revenue at Pond Group Co., Ltd is growing +9.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Earnings per share at Pond Group Co., Ltd are growing −23.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) carry?
The net debt of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 81.9B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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