Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Pond Group Co., Ltd stock KRW 8,864, price KRW 3,955, upside +124.1%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range 2,416 KRW – 7,012 KRW · fair‑value band 6,411 KRW – 12,835 KRW · the 3,955 KRW price screens below the 8,864 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Pond Group Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture of sewn wearing apparels. It offers men, and women underwears. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) currently trades at 3,955 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8,864 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 55% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 20,910 KRW per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3,955 KRW price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,677 KRW, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 6,411 KRW (bear) to 12,835 KRW (bull), the price of 3,955 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Pond Group Co., Ltd reported revenue of 486B KRW in FY2025 versus 2.8B KRW in FY2023, a compound +1,221.3%/yr. Reported net income was 34.5B KRW in FY2025, compounding +1,104.6%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 224B KRW (≈ $168M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.8 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) 688.87 KRW · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 19.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% (3-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 124%, 472850 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear6,411 KRWFair Value 8,864 KRWBull12,835 KRW
Price 3,955 KRW · Upside +124.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (437.93 KRW per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF7,294 KRW9,771 KRW16,875 KRW70
EPV4,027 KRW4,431 KRW4,749 KRW70
Growth DCF6,851 KRW9,712 KRW15,100 KRW69
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF7,294 KRW9,771 KRW16,875 KRW70
Owner Earnings6,026 KRW11,066 KRW19,365 KRW66
5Y Revenue Exit6,518 KRW10,593 KRW19,075 KRW62
5Y EBITDA Exit8,124 KRW13,830 KRW24,994 KRW64
5Y P/E Exit8,890 KRW19,115 KRW32,943 KRW60
10Y Revenue Exit6,611 KRW12,701 KRW16,162 KRW59
10Y EBITDA Exit7,689 KRW15,404 KRW28,443 KRW58
10Y P/E Exit8,129 KRW16,695 KRW30,491 KRW54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd4,100 KRW28,590 KRW40,122 KRW57
Lynch FV13,763 KRW19,661 KRW25,559 KRW55
PEG = 1.013,763 KRW19,661 KRW25,559 KRW52
EPV4,027 KRW4,431 KRW4,749 KRW70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM1,084 KRW1,694 KRW2,093 KRW63
DDM Multi-Stage1,084 KRW1,660 KRW1,832 KRW61
Multiples
P/E Multiple9,948 KRW13,264 KRW16,579 KRW63
P/S Multiple5,956 KRW7,941 KRW9,926 KRW57
P/B Multiple6,309 KRW8,412 KRW10,515 KRW55
EV/EBIT9,441 KRW12,959 KRW16,478 KRW65
EV/EBITDA7,542 KRW10,428 KRW13,314 KRW66
EV/Revenue4,443 KRW6,825 KRW9,208 KRW52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)488.32 KRW739.88 KRW924.85 KRW54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF6,851 KRW9,712 KRW15,100 KRW69
Rev-Margin DCF7,017 KRW12,089 KRW22,458 KRW62
Economic Profit
Residual Income3,447 KRW3,897 KRW4,917 KRW69
ROIC Compounder4,027 KRW4,798 KRW5,475 KRW65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E14,637 KRW20,910 KRW27,183 KRW61
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside+124.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.9% · Above median
Return on assets9.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)33.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)5.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.54× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)6.2× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pond Group Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/472850
Frequently asked questions
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8,864 KRW versus a price of 3,955 KRW, about +124% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 472850?
Our model-based fair value for Pond Group Co., Ltd is 8,864 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,955 KRW.
What is the quality score of 472850?
Pond Group Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8,864 KRW (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,411 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,835 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pond Group Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8,864 KRW, about +124% upside versus a price of 3,955 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6,411 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,835 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Pond Group Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 533B KRW (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Pond Group Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
Pond Group Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Pond Group Co., Ltd pays a dividend of 183.03 KRW per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 29, 2026. The payout ratio is 26.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.44 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pond Group Co., Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +1221.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 472850 use?
Our models discount Pond Group Co., Ltd at 14.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.39, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pond Group Co., Ltd that is -0.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Pond Group Co., Ltd grew +1221.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pond Group Co., Ltd (-0.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.44 %: that much free cash flow Pond Group Co., Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pond Group Co., Ltd it is 8,864 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 3,955 KRW. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 472850 trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,955 KRW, fair value 8,864 KRW, a gap of about +124% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 472850?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,955 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8,864 KRW). For Pond Group Co., Ltd the two are 4,909 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pond Group Co., Ltd worth?
The market values Pond Group Co., Ltd at about 224B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 3,955 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 8,864 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 472850?
Our models span a range for Pond Group Co., Ltd: cautious scenario 6,411 KRW, base 8,864 KRW, optimistic 12,835 KRW per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 3,955 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 472850?
Pond Group Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8,864 KRW is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pond Group Co., Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 19.9%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 472850 from its 52-week high?
Pond Group Co., Ltd trades at 3,955 KRW, about 44% below its 52-week high of 7,012 KRW and 8% above the low of 3,650 KRW (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8,864 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pond Group Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pond Group Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 3,955 KRW, calculated fair value 8,864 KRW (+124%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 472850 calculated?
We run Pond Group Co., Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 8,864 KRW builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Pond Group Co., Ltd currently trades 55% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was 3,955 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 8,864 KRW, about +124% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pond Group Co., Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,411 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (6,411 KRW to 12,835 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Pond Group Co., Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The market capitalisation of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 224B KRW (≈ $168M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Earnings per share at Pond Group Co., Ltd are 688.87 KRW (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The dividend yield of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 4.6% (payout 26.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The net margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 7.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 19.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 7.3% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
The operating margin of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 14.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Revenue at Pond Group Co., Ltd is growing +33.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850)?
Earnings per share at Pond Group Co., Ltd are growing +22.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pond Group Co., Ltd (472850) carry?
The net debt of Pond Group Co., Ltd is 81.9B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026