Allied Supreme Corp (4770) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Allied Supreme Corp TWD 173, price TWD 282, upside -38.4%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 166.01 TWD – 429.63 TWD · fair‑value band 130.07 TWD – 216.78 TWD · the 281.50 TWD price screens above the 173.42 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Allied Supreme Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fluoropolymer resin in China, America, and Taiwan.
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Allied Supreme Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fluoropolymer resin in China, America, and Taiwan. The company offers fluoropolymer materials, lining products, and coatings; customized products, such as injection molding products, overflow sink/tank, PTFE micro-powders, and PTFE compounds; and solutions for semiconductor, flat panel display, solar, pharmaceutical, biochemical, petrochemical, and traditional chemical industries. It also provides fluoropolymer lining, such sheet lining, iso container, immersion coil and shell and tube type heat exchanger; chemical filter housing; lined pipe and fittings; flexible hose and fluoropolymer coating. It serves the semiconductor, panel, and petrochemical industries. Allied Supreme Corp. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Allied Supreme Corp (4770) currently trades at 281.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 173.42 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 62.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 222.98 TWD per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 281.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 65.29 TWD, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 130.07 TWD (bear) to 216.78 TWD (bull), the price of 281.50 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Allied Supreme Corp reported revenue of 4.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 816M TWD in FY2025, compounding −4.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 22.5B TWD (≈ $707M) · P/E ratio 27.7 · P/S ratio 4.78 · EPS (TTM) 10.17 TWD · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 17.3% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −38%, 4770 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 130.07 TWDFair Value 173.42 TWDBull 216.78 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.05 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 21%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 714 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−38% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.7× · Pricier than median
P/B2.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)4.67× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA16.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)48· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Allied Supreme Corp (4770) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 173.42 TWD versus a price of 281.50 TWD, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4770?
Our model-based fair value for Allied Supreme Corp is 173.42 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 281.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4770?
Allied Supreme Corp has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 173.42 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 130.07 TWD, optimistic scenario 216.78 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Allied Supreme Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 173.42 TWD, about −38% upside versus a price of 281.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 130.07 TWD, optimistic scenario 216.78 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Allied Supreme Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Allied Supreme Corp pay a dividend?
Allied Supreme Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Allied Supreme Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4770 use?
Our models discount Allied Supreme Corp at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Allied Supreme Corp that is +5.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Allied Supreme Corp (4770) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Allied Supreme Corp grew +12.4 % a year. The price currently implies +5.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Allied Supreme Corp (4770) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Allied Supreme Corp (+5.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.32 %: that much free cash flow Allied Supreme Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allied Supreme Corp it is 173.42 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 281.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Allied Supreme Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4770 trades above its calculated fair value: price 281.50 TWD, fair value 173.42 TWD, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4770?
No. The price is what the market pays today (281.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (173.42 TWD). For Allied Supreme Corp the two are 108.08 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Allied Supreme Corp worth?
The market values Allied Supreme Corp at about 22.5B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 281.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 173.42 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4770?
Our models span a range for Allied Supreme Corp: cautious scenario 130.07 TWD, base 173.42 TWD, optimistic 216.78 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 281.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4770?
Allied Supreme Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 173.42 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 16.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Balance-sheet figures for Allied Supreme Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4770 from its 52-week high?
Allied Supreme Corp trades at 281.50 TWD, about 5% below its 52-week high of 297.03 TWD and 41% above the low of 200.29 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 173.42 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Allied Supreme Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Allied Supreme Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 281.50 TWD, calculated fair value 173.42 TWD (−38%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4770 calculated?
We run Allied Supreme Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 173.42 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Allied Supreme Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 281.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 173.42 TWD, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Allied Supreme Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (216.78 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Allied Supreme Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The market capitalisation of Allied Supreme Corp is 22.5B TWD (≈ $707M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Allied Supreme Corp is 4.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Earnings per share at Allied Supreme Corp are 10.17 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The dividend yield of Allied Supreme Corp is 2.1% (payout 59.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The net margin of Allied Supreme Corp is 17.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Allied Supreme Corp is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Allied Supreme Corp is 17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
The operating margin of Allied Supreme Corp is 20.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Revenue at Allied Supreme Corp is growing +9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Allied Supreme Corp (4770)?
Earnings per share at Allied Supreme Corp are growing −3.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Allied Supreme Corp (4770) hold?
Allied Supreme Corp holds more cash than debt, 2.7B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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