APAC Opto Electronics Inc (4908) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 11.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 32.60 TWD to 32.33 TWD (−0.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −15.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (43.35 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (22.77 TWD to 43.35 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 23.39 TWD – 293.50 TWD · fair‑value band 22.77 TWD – 43.35 TWD · the 143.50 TWD price screens above the 32.33 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
APAC Opto Electronics Inc (4908) currently trades at 143.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.33 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, APAC Opto Electronics Inc generated revenue of 868M TWD at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 113M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 22.77 TWD (bear case) to 43.35 TWD (bull case); at 143.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -77%, 4908 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (33.59 TWD) versus Asset-Based (14.79 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
APAC Opto Electronics Inc. manufactures and sells fiber optical transmission components for local area networks, wide area networks, storage networks, metropolitan area networks, and access networks in Taiwan and internationally.
Full company description
APAC Opto Electronics Inc. manufactures and sells fiber optical transmission components for local area networks, wide area networks, storage networks, metropolitan area networks, and access networks in Taiwan and internationally. It also offers optical transceivers; copper transceivers; digital video transceivers; external laser source for optical engine; direct attach cables; optical extenders, such as display port, DVI, and USB extenders; and active optical cables. The company also provides OSA/FTTX and OSA/TOSA/FP LD cables; and TO-CAN OEM, an assembly and testing service for TO-CAN type packages that include die bond, wire bond, and cap sealing process. In addition, it supplies a range of optical communication components, including O/E transceivers, sub modules, and ethernet products. The company serves manufacturers of communications for Internet service providers and telecommunications operating companies. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
APAC Opto Electronics Inc reported revenue of 815M TWD in FY2025 versus 779M TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 155M TWD in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.
4908 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 290 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $119.25 | $43.05 | -64% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥1,094 | ¥171.09 | -84% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥56.50 | ¥28.65 | -49% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥482.88 | ¥155.05 | -68% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $11.25 | $2.67 | -76% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $413.31 | $190.43 | -54% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥244.13 | ¥32.04 | -87% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $11.72 | $15.96 | +36% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,090 TWD | 846.28 TWD | -60% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥40.00 | ¥15.75 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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