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APM Automotive Holdings (5015) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 577M MYR

AA APM Automotive Holdings 5015 · KLSE
Price2.90 MYR
Fair Value6.09 MYR
Upside+109.9%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.80% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range 4.56 MYR – 7.61 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 8.34 MYR to 6.09 MYR (−27.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 110% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (4.56 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.42 MYR 1.19 MYR Fair Value 6.09 MYR Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.19 MYR – 3.42 MYR · fair‑value band 4.56 MYR – 7.61 MYR · the 2.90 MYR price screens below the 6.09 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

APM Automotive Holdings (5015) currently trades at 2.90 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.09 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 109.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, APM Automotive Holdings generated revenue of 1.9B MYR at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 20.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 8.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.56 MYR (bear case) to 7.61 MYR (bull case); at 2.90 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 110%, 5015 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 14.67 MYR 19.69 MYR 26.01 MYR 80
Residual Income 5.31 MYR 5.33 MYR 4.88 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 10.38 MYR 14.13 MYR 18.54 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 14.61 MYR 20.42 MYR 28.25 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 6.46 MYR 8.53 MYR 11.32 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 10.38 MYR 13.96 MYR 18.37 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 11.76 MYR 16.56 MYR 22.05 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 10.33 MYR 13.88 MYR 17.52 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 11.83 MYR 15.35 MYR 19.83 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 12.79 MYR 17.01 MYR 22.41 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 11.96 MYR 15.30 MYR 19.23 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.58 MYR 8.29 MYR 11.07 MYR 54
Lynch FV 1.84 MYR 2.63 MYR 3.42 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 1.84 MYR 2.63 MYR 3.42 MYR 46
EPV 6.64 MYR 7.28 MYR 7.81 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.94 MYR 3.50 MYR 4.82 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.94 MYR 3.07 MYR 3.74 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6.25 MYR 8.34 MYR 10.42 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 4.83 MYR 6.44 MYR 8.05 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 4.83 MYR 6.44 MYR 8.05 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 10.73 MYR 13.66 MYR 16.58 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 10.89 MYR 13.86 MYR 16.84 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 7.88 MYR 10.41 MYR 12.94 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.62 MYR 4.85 MYR 7.24 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 14.67 MYR 19.69 MYR 26.01 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 10.38 MYR 14.13 MYR 18.54 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.31 MYR 5.33 MYR 4.88 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 6.64 MYR 7.30 MYR 8.29 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.21 MYR 7.44 MYR 9.67 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (15.30 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (2.63 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.5%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow 261M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.3400 MYR
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -45.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

APM Automotive Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, assembles, manufactures, produces, and distributes automotive and locomotive components in Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Europe, the United States, Australia, and internationally.

Full company description

APM Automotive Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, assembles, manufactures, produces, and distributes automotive and locomotive components in Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Europe, the United States, Australia, and internationally. The company operates through Suspension, Electrical and Heat Exchange, Interior and Plastics, Marketing, Indonesia, and All Other segments. It provides leaf, parabolic, coil, air suspension, and gas springs; shock absorbers; U-bolts and other metal parts; public transportation seating systems, such as bus/coach and train/locomotive seats; automotive seats; plastic interior and exterior parts; seating for motor vehicles, buses, auditoriums, cinemas, rail, and light rail systems; extrusion parts, including roof drips; interior trims, such as headlining, door panels, and carpets; windshield wiper linkages; commercial vehicle parts and components; and safety belts. In addition, the company offers starter motors, alternators, wiper systems, distributors, engine management systems, throttle bodies, air-conditioning systems, condensers, evaporators, radiators, compressors, internet of things (IoT) products and devices, and other related components. Further, it is involved in the trading and distribution of automotive components and parts for the replacement and export markets; the assembly and sale of door trim modules and instrument panel module parts; distribution and after-sales services; and the import and export of automotive parts and components. It engages in the holding of investment properties; the provision of marketing, management, engineering research, design, and development services; the assembly and sale of electric vehicle buses; the fabrication and assembly of integrated EV bus chassis; manufacture and sale of plastic injection and extrusion-molded parts and components; and casting, machining, and assembly of aluminum parts and components. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Port Klang, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

APM Automotive Holdings reported revenue of 2.0B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was 74.1M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B MYR
Latest YoY
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue +13.5%/yr
FY21 1.2B MYR
FY22 1.7B MYR
FY23 1.9B MYR
FY24 2.1B MYR
FY25 2.0B MYR
Net income
FY21 −11.3M MYR
FY22 26.4M MYR
FY23 60.4M MYR
FY24 85.6M MYR
FY25 74.1M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "APM Automotive Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5015

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 30

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is APM Automotive Holdings (5015) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.09 MYR versus a price of 2.90 MYR, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5015?
Our model-based fair value for APM Automotive Holdings is 6.09 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.90 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5015?
APM Automotive Holdings has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of APM Automotive Holdings (5015)?
APM Automotive Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5015?
The net profit margin of APM Automotive Holdings is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does APM Automotive Holdings pay a dividend?
APM Automotive Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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