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NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of NWP Holdings Bhd MYR 0.10, price MYR 0.13, upside -23.1%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · MY · ISIN MYL5025OO001

NH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

NWP Holdings Bhd

5025 · KLSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 0.1000 MYR · Overvalued (−23%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +24.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -85.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.3800 MYR 0.1300 MYR Fair Value 0.1000 MYR May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1300 MYR – 0.3800 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0600 MYR – 0.1700 MYR · the 0.1300 MYR price screens above the 0.1000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Auro Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of timber and timber products in Malaysia, Singapore, and South Korea. The company operates through Molding and Timber, Sale of food and Beverages, and Others segments.

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Auro Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of timber and timber products in Malaysia, Singapore, and South Korea. The company operates through Molding and Timber, Sale of food and Beverages, and Others segments. It offers interior and exterior molded timber products, air dried/kiln dried sawn timber, and veneer roll and wrapping products, as well as kiln drying and consultancy services; supplies information technology solutions; and trades in agricultural products. The company also provides timber treatment services; supplies seafood; trades in sand and other general products; charters vessels; other ancillary services; and engages in the property management, development, and construction activities, as well as dredging, excavation, and transportation of marine sand. In addition, it is involved in the food and beverage (F&B) business, including F&B shop operations, selling merchandise in store, and offering a variety of beverages and foods to customers. The company was formerly known as NWP Holdings Berhad and changed its name to Auro Holdings Berhad in June 2023. Auro Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) currently trades at 0.1300 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.1300 MYR per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the 0.1300 MYR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0300 MYR, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0600 MYR (bear) to 0.1700 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1300 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

NWP Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 24.4M MYR in FY2025 versus 3.2M MYR in FY2021, a compound +65.9%/yr. Reported net income was −1.0M MYR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 82.8M MYR (≈ $20.3M) · P/S ratio 14.9 · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.4% · Operating margin 22.4% · Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7% · Free cash flow 2.8M MYR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −23%, 5025 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.0600 MYR Fair Value 0.1000 MYR Bull 0.1700 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.2700 MYR 76
Growth DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1400 MYR 0.2600 MYR 75
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1800 MYR 72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.2700 MYR 76
Owner Earnings 0.1000 MYR 0.2300 MYR 0.4700 MYR 71
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.0900 MYR 0.1700 MYR 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.1800 MYR 72
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0600 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.0700 MYR 0.1400 MYR 0.2600 MYR 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.0500 MYR 0.0700 MYR 0.0800 MYR 67
EV/Revenue 0.0400 MYR 0.0600 MYR 0.0700 MYR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0200 MYR 0.0300 MYR 0.0400 MYR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0800 MYR 0.1400 MYR 0.2600 MYR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0600 MYR 0.1000 MYR 0.2000 MYR 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+110.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−122.6% (2020) → −2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.0% a year for the price.

5025 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −85% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.45× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 7.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $176.70 $194.37 +10%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $83.02 $101.34 +22%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $79.00 $52.27 −34%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹711.90 ₹201.01 −72%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥11.34 ¥15.06 +33%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$16.13 C$4.54 −72%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$15.24 C$6.43 −58%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥2.15 ¥0.5400 −75%
Greenply Industries Limited GREENPLY ₹298.40 ₹100.71 −66%
Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group 601996 ¥2.99 ¥3.01 +1%

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NWP Holdings Bhd · Fair Value
0.1000 MYR −30%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NWP Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5025

Frequently asked questions

Is NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1000 MYR versus a price of 0.1300 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5025?
Our model-based fair value for NWP Holdings Bhd is 0.1000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1300 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5025?
NWP Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0600 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1700 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NWP Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1000 MYR, about −23% upside versus a price of 0.1300 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0600 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1700 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NWP Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +20.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5025 use?
Our models discount NWP Holdings Bhd at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NWP Holdings Bhd that is +20.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NWP Holdings Bhd grew +24.7 % a year. The price currently implies +20.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NWP Holdings Bhd (+20.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.37 %: that much free cash flow NWP Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NWP Holdings Bhd it is 0.1000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1300 MYR. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NWP Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5025 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1300 MYR, fair value 0.1000 MYR, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5025?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1300 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1000 MYR). For NWP Holdings Bhd the two are 0.0300 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NWP Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values NWP Holdings Bhd at about 82.8M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1300 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1000 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5025?
Our models span a range for NWP Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.0600 MYR, base 0.1000 MYR, optimistic 0.1700 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1300 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
Balance-sheet figures for NWP Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −15.2%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5025 from its 52-week high?
NWP Holdings Bhd trades at 0.1300 MYR, about 16% below its 52-week high of 0.1550 MYR and at the low of 0.1300 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1000 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NWP Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NWP Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1300 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1000 MYR (−23%), Quality Score 57/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5025 calculated?
We run NWP Holdings Bhd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1000 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NWP Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1300 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1000 MYR, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NWP Holdings Bhd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.0600 MYR to 0.1700 MYR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of NWP Holdings Bhd

How large is the market capitalisation of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The market capitalisation of NWP Holdings Bhd is 82.8M MYR (≈ $20.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NWP Holdings Bhd is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The net margin of NWP Holdings Bhd is −4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NWP Holdings Bhd is −15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NWP Holdings Bhd is −17.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
The operating margin of NWP Holdings Bhd is 22.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NWP Holdings Bhd (5025)?
Revenue at NWP Holdings Bhd is growing +20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +110%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does NWP Holdings Bhd (5025) carry?
The net debt of NWP Holdings Bhd is 3.3M MYR (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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