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BP Plastics Holding (5100) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 201M MYR

BP BP Plastics Holding 5100 · KLSE
Price0.7600 MYR
Fair Value0.7000 MYR
Upside-7.9%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.11% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range 0.5200 MYR – 0.8700 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +8.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 0.5200 MYR (bear) to 0.8700 MYR (bull), base 0.7000 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.68 MYR 0.5863 MYR Fair Value 0.7000 MYR Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.5863 MYR – 1.68 MYR · fair‑value band 0.5200 MYR – 0.8700 MYR · the 0.7600 MYR price screens above the 0.7000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

BP Plastics Holding (5100) currently trades at 0.7600 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BP Plastics Holding generated revenue of 396M MYR at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5200 MYR (bear case) to 0.8700 MYR (bull case); at 0.7600 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -8%, 5100 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 0.6600 MYR 0.6400 MYR 0.5200 MYR 76
Growth DCF 0.9500 MYR 1.15 MYR 1.40 MYR 72
Gordon GGM 0.1700 MYR 0.2300 MYR 0.2700 MYR 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.9300 MYR 1.16 MYR 1.44 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.4400 MYR 0.5400 MYR 0.6600 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6800 MYR 0.8600 MYR 1.08 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.8300 MYR 1.13 MYR 1.46 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.7100 MYR 0.9100 MYR 1.12 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7800 MYR 0.9400 MYR 1.13 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.8700 MYR 1.10 MYR 1.35 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.8100 MYR 0.9800 MYR 1.15 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2800 MYR 0.5500 MYR 0.6900 MYR 54
EPV 0.2600 MYR 0.2800 MYR 0.3000 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1700 MYR 0.2300 MYR 0.2700 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1700 MYR 0.2200 MYR 0.2700 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.5200 MYR 0.7000 MYR 0.8700 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.5200 MYR 0.7000 MYR 0.8700 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.5200 MYR 0.7000 MYR 0.8700 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.5500 MYR 0.7100 MYR 0.8800 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.8500 MYR 1.11 MYR 1.37 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.4900 MYR 0.6700 MYR 0.8500 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4800 MYR 0.6500 MYR 0.9700 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.9500 MYR 1.15 MYR 1.40 MYR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6800 MYR 0.8800 MYR 1.11 MYR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.6600 MYR 0.6400 MYR 0.5200 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2600 MYR 0.2800 MYR 0.3000 MYR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.3800 MYR 0.5500 MYR 0.7100 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.9400 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.2200 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 396M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.8%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow 31.9M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 17.9
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 MYR
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BP Plastics Holding Bhd., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells in polyethylene flexible plastics packaging products in Malaysia, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

BP Plastics Holding Bhd., an investment holding company, manufactures and sells in polyethylene flexible plastics packaging products in Malaysia, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company offers hand stretch films under the INFINITY brand; machine stretch films under the INFINITY, QUANTUM-N, and PRIORITY brands; bundle wrap, jumbo roll, and colored and customized stretch films; and wicket bags, stretch and shrink hoods, protective base films, printed films, form fill seal film, and industrial packaging. It also provides customized polyethylene films, including form-fill-seal food packaging films, lamination base films, collation shrink films, and air cargo sheets, as well as construction/builder films. In addition, the company engages in the manufacture and trading of plastic products. BP Plastics Holding Bhd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Batu Pahat, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BP Plastics Holding reported revenue of 414M MYR in FY2025 versus 447M MYR in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 11.5M MYR in FY2025, compounding −29.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
414M MYR
Latest YoY
−15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue −1.9%/yr
FY21 447M MYR
FY22 503M MYR
FY23 470M MYR
FY24 488M MYR
FY25 414M MYR
Net income −29.4%/yr
FY21 46.5M MYR
FY22 30.5M MYR
FY23 35.2M MYR
FY24 21.6M MYR
FY25 11.5M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BP Plastics Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5100

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 18 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

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Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BP Plastics Holding (5100) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7000 MYR versus a price of 0.7600 MYR, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5100?
Our model-based fair value for BP Plastics Holding is 0.7000 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.7600 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5100?
BP Plastics Holding has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BP Plastics Holding (5100)?
BP Plastics Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 396M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5100?
The net profit margin of BP Plastics Holding is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BP Plastics Holding pay a dividend?
BP Plastics Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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