5127 Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · MY · Market cap 241M MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2700 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2792 MYR – 0.5797 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1600 MYR – 0.2700 MYR · the 0.3900 MYR price screens above the 0.2200 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
5127 (5127) currently trades at 0.3900 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2200 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 5127 generated revenue of 83.1M MYR at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at 582M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1600 MYR (bear case) to 0.2700 MYR (bull case); at 0.3900 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -44%, 5127 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.8400 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.0800 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (AmanahRaya REIT or the Trust) is a Malaysia domiciled real estate investment trust. It is constituted between AmanahRaya-Kenedix REIT Manager Sdn. Bhd. (the Manager) and CIMB Islamic Trustee Berhad.
Full company description
AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (AmanahRaya REIT or the Trust) is a Malaysia domiciled real estate investment trust. It is constituted between AmanahRaya-Kenedix REIT Manager Sdn. Bhd. (the Manager) and CIMB Islamic Trustee Berhad. On 13 May 2019, the Manager, CIMB Islamic Trustee Berhad (Retiring Trustee) and Pacific Trustees Berhad (New Trustee or the Trustee) entered a supplementary deed to effect the change of trustee of AmanahRaya REIT from the Retiring Trustee to the New Trustee. The change of trustee took effect on 21 May 2019 upon the registration and lodgement of the Supplementary Deed with the Securities Commission on 24 May 2019. Subsequently, the Manager entered into an Amended and Restated Trust Deed dated 5 December 2019 (the Trust Deed) with the Trustee which has been registered and lodged with the Securities Commission on 10 January 2020 and 16 January 2020, respectively, in compliance with the amendments made to the Securities Commission's Guidelines on Listed Real Estate Investment Trusts. The Trust Deed is regulated by the Securities Commission's Guidelines on Listed Real Estate Investment Trusts, the Listing Requirements of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad, the Rules of the Depository and taxation laws and rulings. AmanahRaya REIT will continue its operations until such time as determined by the Trustee and the Manager as provided under the provision of Clause 26 of the Trust Deed dated 10 October 2006. AmanahRaya REIT is listed on the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad. AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust was incorporated in 2006 in Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
5127 reported revenue of 85.1M MYR in FY2025 versus 86.6M MYR in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 7.3M MYR in FY2025, compounding −30.6%/yr from FY2021.
5127 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $76.69 | $35.59 | -54% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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