VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited ₹6.21, price ₹39.73, upside -84.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹15.10 – ₹71.15 · fair‑value band ₹4.63 – ₹9.26 · the ₹39.73 price screens above the ₹6.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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VBC Ferro Alloys Limited manufactures and sells ferro alloys in India. Its products include ferro silicon, silicon flume, and metallurgical coke. The company also exports its products to Italy, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany, Korea, France, Poland, Romania, and Belgium.
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VBC Ferro Alloys Limited manufactures and sells ferro alloys in India. Its products include ferro silicon, silicon flume, and metallurgical coke. The company also exports its products to Italy, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany, Korea, France, Poland, Romania, and Belgium. VBC Ferro Alloys Limited was founded in 1967 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005) currently trades at ₹39.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.21, 84.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹4.63 (bear) to ₹9.26 (bull), the price of ₹39.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrial Goods sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
VBC Ferro Alloys Limited reported revenue of ₹10.7M in FY2026 versus ₹925M in FY2022, a compound −67.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹98.4M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹252M (≈ $2.6M) · P/E ratio 1.9 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.40 · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.3% · Operating margin −656,095% · Free cash flow −₹191M · Net debt ₹343M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrial Goods peers we cover trades at −57% fair-value upside, at −84%, 513005 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹4.63Fair Value ₹6.21Bull ₹9.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.73 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−98.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−81.7%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3,687.3% (2021) → −1,801.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare VBC Ferro Alloys Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+17.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets5.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.98× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Is VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.21 versus a price of ₹39.73, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 513005?
Our model-based fair value for VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is ₹6.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹39.73.
What is the quality score of 513005?
VBC Ferro Alloys Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹4.63, optimistic scenario ₹9.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VBC Ferro Alloys Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.21, about −84% upside versus a price of ₹39.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹4.63, optimistic scenario ₹9.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VBC Ferro Alloys Limited it is ₹6.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹39.73. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VBC Ferro Alloys Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 513005 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹39.73, fair value ₹6.21, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 513005?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹39.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.21). For VBC Ferro Alloys Limited the two are ₹33.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VBC Ferro Alloys Limited worth?
The market values VBC Ferro Alloys Limited at about ₹252M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹39.73; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 513005?
Our models span a range for VBC Ferro Alloys Limited: cautious scenario ₹4.63, base ₹6.21, optimistic ₹9.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹39.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 513005?
VBC Ferro Alloys Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹6.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
Balance-sheet figures for VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 1.98 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 513005 from its 52-week high?
VBC Ferro Alloys Limited trades at ₹39.73, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹55.40 and 4% above the low of ₹38.11 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VBC Ferro Alloys Limited?
From the same area (Industrial Goods) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VBC Ferro Alloys Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹39.73, calculated fair value ₹6.21 (−84%), Quality Score 44/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 513005 calculated?
We run VBC Ferro Alloys Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. VBC Ferro Alloys Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹39.73. Our model-based fair value is ₹6.21, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VBC Ferro Alloys Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹9.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹4.63 to ₹9.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
The market capitalisation of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is ₹252M (≈ $2.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
Earnings per share at VBC Ferro Alloys Limited are ₹3.40 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is −12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005)?
The operating margin of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is −656,095% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005) generate?
The free cash flow of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is −₹191M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does VBC Ferro Alloys Limited (513005) carry?
The net debt of VBC Ferro Alloys Limited is ₹343M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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