MCT Bhd (5182) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MCT Bhd MYR 0.23, price MYR 0.16, upside +43.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0979 MYR – 0.3868 MYR · fair‑value band 0.2300 MYR – 0.3100 MYR · the 0.1600 MYR price screens below the 0.2300 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Avaland Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as a property development company in Malaysia. It operates through Property Development, Investment Holding, Complementary Business, and Others segments. The company develops residential and commercial properties.
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Avaland Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as a property development company in Malaysia. It operates through Property Development, Investment Holding, Complementary Business, and Others segments. The company develops residential and commercial properties. It is also involved in the provision of civil and mechanical engineering, maintenance, and utility services; leasing of properties; management and construction services; electrical works; trading of construction materials; rental of plant and machinery; provision of sales and marketing services for property development; and property investment and management services. Avaland Berhad was formerly known as MCT Berhad and changed its name to Avaland Berhad in June 2023. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Subang Jaya, Malaysia. Avaland Berhad is a subsidiary of Regent Wise Investments Limited.
Stock analysis
MCT Bhd (5182) currently trades at 0.1600 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2300 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.4000 MYR per share, and 4 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.1600 MYR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.1600 MYR, and 3 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.2300 MYR (bear) to 0.3100 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1600 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
MCT Bhd reported revenue of 225M MYR in FY2023 versus 331M MYR in FY2019, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 489K MYR in FY2023, compounding −69.9%/yr from FY2019.
Key figures
Market cap 233M MYR (≈ $57.2M) · P/S ratio 0.42 · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 15.2% · Revenue (TTM) 576M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) −16.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 44%, 5182 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.2300 MYRFair Value 0.2300 MYRBull 0.3100 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.2%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−62.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−62.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 13%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+44% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MCT Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5182
Frequently asked questions
Is MCT Bhd (5182) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2300 MYR versus a price of 0.1600 MYR, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5182?
Our model-based fair value for MCT Bhd is 0.2300 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1600 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5182?
MCT Bhd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MCT Bhd (5182)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2300 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2300 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3100 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MCT Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2300 MYR, about +44% upside versus a price of 0.1600 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.2300 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3100 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MCT Bhd (5182)?
MCT Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 576M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MCT Bhd (5182)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MCT Bhd it is 0.2300 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.1600 MYR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MCT Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5182 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1600 MYR, fair value 0.2300 MYR, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5182?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1600 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2300 MYR). For MCT Bhd the two are 0.0700 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MCT Bhd worth?
The market values MCT Bhd at about 233M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.1600 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2300 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5182?
Our models span a range for MCT Bhd: cautious scenario 0.2300 MYR, base 0.2300 MYR, optimistic 0.3100 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.1600 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MCT Bhd (5182)?
Balance-sheet figures for MCT Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5182 from its 52-week high?
MCT Bhd trades at 0.1600 MYR, about 40% below its 52-week high of 0.2650 MYR and at the low of 0.1600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2300 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MCT Bhd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MCT Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.1600 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2300 MYR (+44%), Quality Score 52/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5182 calculated?
We run MCT Bhd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2300 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. MCT Bhd currently trades 44 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1600 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2300 MYR, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MCT Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.2300 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of MCT Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The market capitalisation of MCT Bhd is 233M MYR (≈ $57.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MCT Bhd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The net margin of MCT Bhd is 0.2% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MCT Bhd is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MCT Bhd (5182)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MCT Bhd is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MCT Bhd (5182)?
The operating margin of MCT Bhd is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MCT Bhd (5182)?
Revenue at MCT Bhd is growing −16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MCT Bhd (5182)?
Earnings per share at MCT Bhd are growing −40.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does MCT Bhd (5182) generate?
The free cash flow of MCT Bhd is −131M MYR (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does MCT Bhd (5182) carry?
The net debt of MCT Bhd is 30.6M MYR (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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