Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Berjaya Food Bhd MYR 0.40, price MYR 0.16, upside +158.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1550 MYR – 1.10 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3000 MYR – 0.5600 MYR · the 0.1550 MYR price screens below the 0.4000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Berjaya Food Berhad, an investment holding company, develops and operates restaurants, café chains, and retail outlets in Malaysia, other Southeast Asian countries, and Nordic countries. The company operates a chain of Kenny Rogers Roasters (KRR) restaurants in Malaysia; Starbucks stores; and food and beverages outlets in Denmark, Iceland, and Finland.
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Berjaya Food Berhad, an investment holding company, develops and operates restaurants, café chains, and retail outlets in Malaysia, other Southeast Asian countries, and Nordic countries. The company operates a chain of Kenny Rogers Roasters (KRR) restaurants in Malaysia; Starbucks stores; and food and beverages outlets in Denmark, Iceland, and Finland. It also offers soy-based beverages and local snacks, and baked goods products under the Paris Baguette name. In addition, it provides consultancy services for food audit and certification, and training services for food handlers. The company serves small food and beverage chains, convenience stores, and Kopitiam. Berjaya Food Berhad was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) currently trades at 0.1550 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.4100 MYR per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the 0.1550 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.0500 MYR, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.3000 MYR (bear) to 0.5600 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1550 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Berjaya Food Bhd reported revenue of 479M MYR in FY2025 versus 717M MYR in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −287M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 323M MYR (≈ $79.3M) · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) −0.1300 MYR · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −59.9% · Return on equity −114% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin −2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 158%, 5196 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.3000 MYRFair Value 0.4000 MYRBull 0.5600 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.7% (2020) → −20.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+158% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−45% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.78× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berjaya Food Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5196
Frequently asked questions
Is Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4000 MYR versus a price of 0.1550 MYR, about +158% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5196?
Our model-based fair value for Berjaya Food Bhd is 0.4000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1550 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5196?
Berjaya Food Bhd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4000 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3000 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5600 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Berjaya Food Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4000 MYR, about +158% upside versus a price of 0.1550 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.3000 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5600 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Berjaya Food Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 492M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Berjaya Food Bhd pay a dividend?
Berjaya Food Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Berjaya Food Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +3.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5196 use?
Our models discount Berjaya Food Bhd at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Berjaya Food Bhd that is +3.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Berjaya Food Bhd grew -5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +3.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Berjaya Food Bhd (+3.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.82 %: that much free cash flow Berjaya Food Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Berjaya Food Bhd it is 0.4000 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1550 MYR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Berjaya Food Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5196 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1550 MYR, fair value 0.4000 MYR, a gap of about +158% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5196?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1550 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4000 MYR). For Berjaya Food Bhd the two are 0.2450 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Berjaya Food Bhd worth?
The market values Berjaya Food Bhd at about 323M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1550 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4000 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5196?
Our models span a range for Berjaya Food Bhd: cautious scenario 0.3000 MYR, base 0.4000 MYR, optimistic 0.5600 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1550 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 5196?
The PEG ratio of Berjaya Food Bhd is 0.79 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Balance-sheet figures for Berjaya Food Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −114.0%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5196 from its 52-week high?
Berjaya Food Bhd trades at 0.1550 MYR, about 52% below its 52-week high of 0.3200 MYR and at the low of 0.1550 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4000 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Berjaya Food Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Berjaya Food Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1550 MYR, calculated fair value 0.4000 MYR (+158%), Quality Score 37/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5196 calculated?
We run Berjaya Food Bhd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4000 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Berjaya Food Bhd currently trades 158 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1550 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.4000 MYR, about +158% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Berjaya Food Bhd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.3000 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.3000 MYR to 0.5600 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Berjaya Food Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The market capitalisation of Berjaya Food Bhd is 323M MYR (≈ $79.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Berjaya Food Bhd is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Earnings per share at Berjaya Food Bhd are −0.1300 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The dividend yield of Berjaya Food Bhd is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The net margin of Berjaya Food Bhd is −59.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Berjaya Food Bhd is −114% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Berjaya Food Bhd is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
The operating margin of Berjaya Food Bhd is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Revenue at Berjaya Food Bhd is growing +4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Berjaya Food Bhd (5196)?
Earnings per share at Berjaya Food Bhd are growing −44.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Berjaya Food Bhd (5196) carry?
The net debt of Berjaya Food Bhd is 579M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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